Botswana Power Q4 2019
Key View :
Botswana will remain heavily reliant on electricity imports throughout our forecast period to 2028, accounting for anannual average of about 36% of total power consumed. Electricity generated domestically will come almost exclusively fromMorupule A and B coal-fired power plants, with the marginal remainder coming from peaking oil-fired power plants and small-scalesolar power capacity. We note the upside risk posed by tenders underway for new coal-bed methane and solar power projects up to100MW each. However, the lack of progress and poor track-record for completing such projects in the country make us bearish onthe prospect of their completion within the coming decade.
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