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Botswana Power Report Q2 2016

Botswana Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Botswana will experience electricity generation growth towards 2019 onwards. Growth willcome from the initially underperforming thermal power sector through new coal-fired capacity, which willeventually allow Botswana to be less reliant on electricity imports from its neighbours.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Japanese company Marubeni has formed a joint venture with South Korean firm Posco Energy, whichhas been named as the preferred bidder for the 300 megawatts (MW) expansion of the Morupule B PowerStation. This will be the first Independent Power Producer (IPP) operated plant in Botswana.

Shumba Energy has stated that it is awaiting the finalisation of the power purchase agreement (PPA)before construction will start on its Sechaba Coal Power Plant, which it currently expects to startoperations between 2018 and 2019.

Shumba Energy has submitted an Expression of Interest (EOI) for the 100MW solar power tender inJwaneng, and has secured partners for the tender, namely Mulilo, SunPower and Total.

The Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) has been experiencing unplanned outages in the capital,Gaborone, due to equipment failures at substations. A power outage in late January has affected localradio and telecoms stations, causing them to be cut.

The BPC has announced that the first phase of construction for the North West Transmission Grid is dueto be commenced by March 2016, with the expected completion date in 2018.

We currently forecast that total generation will grow from 0.42TWh in 2016 to 3.2TWh in 2025.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Botswana 2015
2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Botswana Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2015
2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2020
2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Botswana Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Generation and Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014
2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020
2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014
2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020
2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014
2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020
2025)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014
2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020
2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014
2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020
2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Africa Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100)
Botswana Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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