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Botswana Mining Report Q2 2015

Botswana Mining Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Botswana will remain one of the best regulated and strongest performing mining sectors inAfrica over the coming years. The sector will largely be driven by the diamond industry, though othermetals and minerals will see increasing prominence, including coal, copper, and nickel. Additionally,uranium mining is likely to take off over the next decade.

We maintain a constructive outlook for Botswana's mining sector over our forecast period to 2019.

Diamonds will remain the mainstay of Botswana's mining sector, boosted by new projects planned byDebswana, Gem Diamonds and Lucara Diamond Corp. Yet we expect coal will become an increasinglyprominent component of the wider mining sector and forecast production will accelerate in the years ahead.

We therefore forecast the country's mining industry value will see average annual growth of 4.0% to 2019,reaching a value of USD3.7bn by 2019.


BMI Industry View
Coal To Play Larger Role
Table: Botswana - Major New Mining Projects
Country To Remain Dependent On Mining
Botswana To Remain Leader In Africa
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Diamond Outlook Still Sparkles
Table: Botswana - Main Diamond Projects
Tailwinds In 2015
Improved Power Supply To Encourage Production
Table: Diamond Production (Botswana 2011-2019)
Coal: Positive Multi-Year Trends
Production To Grow Despite Transport Delays
Table: Botswana - Coal Deposits
Coal To Boost Growth
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Botswana 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Botswana Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Botswana - Mining Industry Forecasts
Africa Risk/Reward Index
High Risks, Large Rewards
African Countries Trend Lower
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Corruption
Tax Regime
Table: Botswana - Political Overview
Table: Africa - Mining Regulatory Outlook
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals
Aluminium: Abating Tightness To Cap Prices
Copper: Continued Weakness Ahead
Lead: Prices To Firm As Year Progresses
Nickel: Prices Will Only Rise Gradually
Tin: Waiting On A Deficit
Zinc: Modest Price Growth On Tighter Supply But Looser Demand
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
International & Domestic Key Players
Company Profile
Norilsk Nickel
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data
Anglo American - Q2 2015
Company Strategy
Latest Results
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data
Regional Overview
Regional Overview - Four Key Themes For 2015: Africa Mining
Gold To Retreat; Except In The DRC
West African Iron Ore On The Rocks
Job Cuts & Greater Mechanisation
Mining To Remain A Crucial Contributor To African GDP
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
2. Stronger US Dollar To Persist
3. Iron Ore Market To Consolidate
5. Standouts In 2015
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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