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Bangladesh Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Bangladesh 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Bangladesh 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Bangladesh 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Bangladesh 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, BDTmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings And Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Bangladesh 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Bangladesh 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Table: Summary Of Capital Market Developments In Bangladesh
Competitive Landscape
Table: Comparison Among Regional Capital Markets June 2017
Table: Dhaka Stock Exchange
Table: Top 10 Companies Traded On DSE
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Table: State Banks Lead Malinvestments
Economic Analysis
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Bangladesh 2016-2026)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

BMI View: Bangladesh's financial sector remains on the brink of crisis due to one of the world's highestnon-performing loan (NPL) ratios and continued need for state bail-outs for the state banking sector. Thelevel of bad debt within the banking system has increased and asset quality is likely to remain poor over thecoming quarters. We expect profitability to remain weak as banks will face increasing pressure from thecentral bank to rebuild their loan loss provisions amid rising NPL rates. Low lending rates will also weighon bank profits. Monsoon flooding has merely added to the woes experienced by the Bangladeshi bankingsector with the affected population and businesses compromised in their ability to repay debt. Furthershocks - political, economic and external - could push the financial sector over the edge with contagionfrom state bank failure leading to a systemic crisis.

The financial sector's contribution to the Bangladeshi economy's total gross value added (GVA) wasestimated at just 3.8% in 2016 and is set to rise only modestly over the forecast period, reaching 4.1% by 2026.


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