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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term. Thelimited amount of arable land available for acreage expansion, as well as poor safety standards, willconstrain growth over our forecast period. Structural problems still plague the industry, in particular thelogistical challenges of food transportation within the country. Over the long term, we believe there is muchmore room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as theagricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20%of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policyis also an interesting area to look out, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GMfood cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 25.4% on the 2013/14 level to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driverbehind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option fornon-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).

Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 16.5% growth to 151,000 tonnes. Production will fail to returnto the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops,such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Key Risks To Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Regional Overview
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops
Competitive Landscape
Table: Bangladesh - Major Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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