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Bahrain Retail Report Q2 2016

Bahrain Retail Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Bahrain's retail industry has become one of the most prosperous in the world, owing to thecountry's young and wealthy population (which is further boosted by the growing number of affluentexpats). Spending on non-essential items is growing and we expect this trend to continue throughout ourforecast period. The shopping mall remains the most popular format in the capital of Manama, wheremodern retail outlets dominated by famous international brands are commonplace. The MGR sectorhowever, remains less saturated with significant room for growth.

Key Views And Developments

We expect household consumption to continue to climb, thanks to a robust economy and higher wages.This will be further supported by low inflation rate, which stood at 2.0% in 2015, which will help supportreal purchasing power.

The share of households in the USD50,000-plus income bracket will continue to expand, reaching 51.8%in 2016.

Bahrain's population will grow rapidly by 1-2% annually throughout the forecast period due to growingexpat community.

Housing & utilities will be the largest sub-sector of household spending, accounting for approximately26.1% of the total in 2016.

We expect total household spending growth to pick up notably over our forecast period and average7.02% per annum between 2016 and 2020. Increasing household incomes bodes well for the nonessentialsspending, which are expected to see its share in the total household spending constitute 41.0%of spending throughout our forecast period.

BMI Industry View
Retail SWOT
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Personal Care
Table: Personal Care Spending (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (Bahrain 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Bahrain - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
Table: Selected Department Stores
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers
Table: Selected Pharmacies
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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