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Australia Shipping Report Q4 2015

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Melbourne Throughput
Port Of Sydney Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Australia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2006-2013, USDmn
Market Overview
Australia Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Australian National Lines
Shipping - Global Industry View
Container Shipping: Three Key Themes
Table: Major Beneficiaries
Table: Order Book For New Mega Vessel Class
Table: Vessel Capacity By Trade Route
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Australia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025)

Australia Shipping Report Q4 2015

BMI View: In tandem with the wider economy, Australia's shipping industry will not see huge strides interms of y-o-y growth, but it will nonetheless enjoy modest gains over the medium term. While theAustralian economy continued to slow in Q1 2015, we maintain our 2015 real GDP growth forecast of 2.3%(versus 2.7% in 2014) - the country's main ports are set to post modest gains, led by the Port of Melbourne(tonnage growth) and Brisbane (container growth).

We caution that the country's worsening terms of trade and unwinding investment boom continue to act asmajor headwinds to growth. The total value of services exports is now slightly greater than that of iron oreexports, given the sharp decline in commodity prices despite surging volumes, and this divergence willincrease over the coming years. This is not welcome news to the shipping industry considering how integralthe transportation abroad of iron ore is to the Australian shipping industry - Australia's top export is ironore, while gold is also in the top five, according to the Observatory of Economic Complexity.


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