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Australia Mining Report Q2 2016

Australia Mining Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Nickel and bauxite will emerge as the Australian mining industry's production growth brightspots during 2016-2020. Coal and gold output growth will slow more markedly due to continued priceweakness.

Although Australia will remain one of the world's largest mineral producers, growth will slow across theboard due to continued mineral price weakness. The Australian mining sector will be particularly affectedby China's economic slowdown, as the country accounts for almost 80.0% of the country's iron ore exports.

We expect Australia's mining industry value to fall to USD86bn in 2016, down from USD96bn in 2015. Weforecast Australia's mining industry value growth to pick up again by 2018, reaching USD94bn in 2020.

Iron ore, for example, which accounts for 33.5% of the country's mining industry value, will increase itsshare to 36.3% of industry value by 2020 and drive industry growth.


BMI Industry View
Table: Australia Mining Industry Value
Latest Developments & Structural Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Bauxite: Amrun To Lead Growth
Latest Developments
Table: Australia - Bauxite Production Forecast
Table: Australia - Select Bauxite Projects
Structural Trends
Coal: Growth To Slow
Latest Developments
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia: Select Coal Projects
Structural Trends
Copper: Strong Production Despite Weak Prices
Latest Developments
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia - Largest Copper Projects
Structural Trends
Gold: Weaker Australian Dollar To Encourage Growth
Latest Developments
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia - Largest Gold Mining Projects
Structural Trends
Domestic & International Firms Still Active
Iron Ore: Smaller High-Cost Miners To Exit
Latest Developments
Table: Australia Iron Ore Production Forecast
Table: Australia - New Iron Ore Projects
Structural Trends
Lead: Zinc To Drag Down Growth
Latest Developments
Table: Lead Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia Selected Lead Projects
Structural Trends
Nickel: More Mine Closures Ahead
Latest Developments
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia - Select Nickel Projects
Structural Trends
Tin: Production To Boom
Latest Developments
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia - Tin Mining Projects
Structural Trends
Zinc: No Rebound To Previous Highs
Latest Developments
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020)
Table: Australia Selected Zinc Projects
Structural Trends
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Australia Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Asia Risk Reward Index
Australia Stays On Top While India & Myanmar Gain
Shifting Scores Reflect Changing Sector Dynamics
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Key Regulation Facts
Trade & Investment Risk Analysis
Table: Australia - Mineral Taxes
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Iron Ore: Price Weakness To Continue Over Coming Years
Steel: Oversupply To Drag Down Prices
Non-Ferrous Metals
Aluminium: Continued Weakness, But No Sharp Downturn
Copper: Recent Relief Rally To Fade
Lead: Prices Weakness To Continue
Nickel: Subdued Prices Due To Weak Demand Growth
Tin: Supply Deficits To Underpin Rally In Tin Prices
Zinc: Positive Multi-Year Outlook, But Increasing Risks In Months Ahead
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Iron Ore Majors To Outperform
Table: Financial Data For Key Mining Firms Listed In Australia
Company Profile
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto - Q2 2016
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects
Latest Financial Results
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data
Glencore
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - MMG Limited - Q2 2016
Table: MMG Ltd - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: MMG Limited - Key Financial Data
BHP Billiton - Q2 2016
Latest Financial Results
Table: BHP Billiton - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Continued Domination Of Iron Ore Production
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform
China & India To Lead In Outbound Investment
Indonesian Ban To Continue
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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