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Australia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

Australia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Slowing GDP growth and political tensions in the run up to federal elections are dampeninginvestor sentiment in Australia, particularly as the key mining sector continues to post weak results andconcerns are rising about the overvalued housing market. The outlook for Australia's construction sectortherefore remains subdued, with low single digit growth expected for much of the forecast period through to2025. While limited activity in the residential sector and in transport infrastructure will stimulate someincrease in construction sector value, overall growth prospects are muted.

Latest Updates

We currently maintain our estimate for growth of 0.4% in the construction sector for 2015, although wenote our forecasts may be subject to downward revision, following the release of full-year figures, withseveral regions reporting a fall in construction activity over the last quarter. The outlook for 2016 ismarginally more positive, with growth forecast at 1.6% based primarily on a number of projects in thepipeline in the residential and transport infrastructure sectors.

Several transport projects are progressing, underpinning our forecasts for a return to growth in thetransport infrastructure sector in 2016. These include the Melbourne Metro Rail public/privatepartnership project where the first package of works will reportedly start in 2017, delivering criticalworks worth hundreds of millions of dollars to prepare main sites for the start of major construction in2018.


BMI Industry View
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Australia 2016-2022)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Australia 2016)
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Australia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Australia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Table: Competitiveness Of Australia's Infrastructure
Table: Liberal-National Coalition Proposed Federal Funding Plans For Transport Infrastructure, By Year, By State, AUDmn
Table: Australia - Federal Expenditure On Infrastructure, AUDbn
Table: Transport Projects
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Australia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Table: Energy & Utilities Projects
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Australia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Table: Construction and Social Infrastructure Projects
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Australia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
APAC Infrastructure RRI: Affirming A Benign 2016 Outlook
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: EQS Industry Data
Company Profile
Leighton Holdings
WorleyParsons
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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