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Australia Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

Australia Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

We believe Australian banks are exposed to a significantly overvalued housing market andcontinued reliance on offshore wholesale funding and we therefore hold a negative outlook. With respect toother areas of financial services, insurers face stiff competition while the stock exchange will continue to bedomestically focused, leaving little room for growth, other than the asset management industry, boosted bythe large superannuation fund.

We hold a negative view on Australia's banking sector due to its vulnerability to the overvalued housingmarket particularly in Sydney and Melbourne and its reliance on offshore wholesale funding. A coolingproperty market is likely to act as a drag on credit growth and profitability while funding costs would rise inthe event of global risk aversion.


BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Australia 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Australia 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Capital Raising Efforts Back In 2015
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Australia 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Australia 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Australia 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Australia 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Australia 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, AUDmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings & Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Australia 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Australia 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Non-Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top Australian Asset Managers In Willis Towers Watson Report
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: ASX Listing Requirements
Table: TOP 10 CONSTITUENTS ON THE S&P/ASX200
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Australia 2016-2026)
Household Income Forecasts
Table: Household Income Data (Australia 2015-2021)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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