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Argentina Oil and Gas Report Q3 2015

BMI View: Highly prospective acreage, a strengthening competitive landscape and supportive pricingdynamics will help insulate the Argentine shale sector from aggressive claw backs in industry spending. Ashift toward a more centrist government after the October 2015 presidential election will open upsignificant investment opportunities in Argentina, particularly within the oil and gas sector. As such, thecore Neuquén shale province will over the course of the next decade, although the more peripheral shaleformations will see limited investment. Increased investment and a growing exploration drive point to amarked improvement in investor sentiment, and we expect this trend to continue over the next severalquarters.

The main trends and developments we highlight in the Argentine oil and gas sector are:

Argentina's real GDP will contract in 2015 as currency controls and high levels of inflation weaken realwages and discourage fixed asset investment. In 2016, the country's economy will returnto positive growth after the October 2015 election as a new administration encourages an expansionof business-friendly policies, with the oil and gas sector emerging as a main beneficiary.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2019)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: Amended Hydrocarbons Law
Upstream Projects
Table: Argentina Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Argentina 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Argentina 2019-2024)
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Argentina 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Argentina 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Argentina 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Argentina 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Argentina 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America Composite Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Reforms Prompting A Shake Up
Table: Latin America Upstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Downstream: Medium-Term Outlook Reinforces Current Dynamics
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Argentina - Risk/Reward Index
Argentina Upstream Index - Overview
Argentina Downstream Index - Overview
Market Overview
Argentina Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Licensing And Regulation
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
International Energy Relations
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Refineries In Argentina
Service Stations
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Gas Storage
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Argentine Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
YPF
Petrobras
Chevron
Total
ExxonMobil
Royal Dutch Shell
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Latin America Oil&Gas Regional Overview
Global industry overview
Oil Price Outlook
Table: BMI And Bloomberg Consensus Forecasts* WTI And Brent, Front Month - USD/bbl
Table: 2015-2016 - Fundamental Pressure On Oil Prices
Appendix
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2013-2018
Table: Energy Price Forecasts, 2019-2024 ( Global 2019-2024)
Latin America - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Argentina - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Argentina 2019-2024)
Argentina - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Argentina 2019-2024)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Argentina 2019-2024)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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