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Argentina Infrastructure Report Q4 2015

Argentina Infrastructure Report Q4 2015

BMI View: We forecast a return to growth for Argentina's construction industry at 3% in 2015, partly as aresult of low base effects and an investment drive prior to the October presidential elections. Should a morecentrist government be elected, we expect a rise in private investment in infrastructure and a diversificationof the current competitive landscape, which is largely weighted towards by Chinese and Russiancompanies.

Key Trends And Developments

Our Country Risk team forecasts Argentina's economy to grow by a moderate 0.1% in 2015, following0.4% real GDP growth in 2014. Weak gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) will limit the extent ofgrowth in the construction industry.

However, after a new government is inaugurated in 2016, we expect GFCF will return to real expansion.Businesses will begin construction of fixed assets as expectations for more business-friendly policies,such as tax incentives for investment, are implemented. Further, the end of Fernández's administrationwill improve perceptions about the Argentine government. Reduced restrictions on imports and aweakened peso will reduce the cost for foreign businesses looking to expand in the country'sinfrastructure sector.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Argentina 2013-2018)
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Argentina 2019-2024)
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy & Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Table: Energy & Utilities - Major Projects
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Argentina - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Policy Uncertainty To Weigh On Latin America
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Argentina EQS Data
Company Profile
Roggio
Techint
Table: Techint Group Consolidated Highlights (USDmn)
Global Industry Overview
Table: Infrastructure Key Themes 2015
Table: Asia: Key Reforms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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