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Argentina Agribusiness Report Q3 2015


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Argentina Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

BMI View: The Argentine grain sector will continue to play centre stage over the medium term amid adeteriorating economic environment. With foreign reserves under pressure, grain exports (particularlysoybean) will remain vital, but there remains evidence of hoarding, which could lead to clashes with thegovernment over policy. Nonetheless, soybean will remain the pre-eminent crop in Argentina over the longterm and we expect poultry production to show the most promise within the livestock complex. We seepotential for a mild rebound in beef production, as sector fundamentals remain challenging despite asignificant decrease in grain prices. The country's dairy sector shows relative promise, due to high localretail prices and investment into the sector.

Key Forecasts

Corn production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 7.1% to 26.8mn tonnes. Production growth will remaingood despite a wide switch to soybean, as exports will be attractive due to the large sell off in the peso.

Soybean production growth to 2018/19: 5.7% to 57.1mn tonnes. Growth will come from increasingexport demand for soybeans along with more value-added products. Soybean crops are also generally lesscapital-intensive than corn crops due to lower input costs. However, lower prices over the next few yearswill reduce the area dedicated to soybean plantings. In terms of export markets, China will be a keydestination of soybean exports as the country directs its focus towards the production of other majorcrops.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Soybean Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Grains Outlook
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014)
Featured Analysis
Commodity Strategy
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Monthly Grains Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Canned Food
Table: Canned Food Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Oils & Fats
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Fish
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018)
Drink
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Argentina 2013-2018)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018)
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Argentina 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Argentina 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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