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Angola Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Angola Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Angola's oil production is forecast to remain strong and unaffected by low oil prices, withoutput rising up until 2018. Post-2018 oil production will fall off due to a steep decline in rates on maturefields and no new projects forecast to counteract the declines. However, with plenty of pre-FID projects inthe pipeline and a strong oil major presence, oil production risks lie to the upside. Gas production willremain limited throughout our forecast with weak domestic demand, but will benefit from the ALNG comingback online after two years of closure. The downstream outlook is bleak, with the two planned refinerieslooking increasingly unlikely to materialise in the next 10 years.

Latest Updates And Key Trends

Angola will see continued exploration of its prospective offshore waters. However, we expect aslowdown in high-cost, high-risk ultra-deepwater and pre-salt drilling as companies look to rein in capitalexpenditure and exercise tighter fiscal discipline.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Angola 2014-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
Table: Angola's Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Angola Key Projects Pre-FID
Table: Oil Production (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2020-2025)
Fuels Trade Forecasts
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Angola 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Angola 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Angola - Risk/Reward Index
Angola Upstream - Overview
Angola Downstream - Overview
Market Overview
Angola Energy Market Overview
Fiscal Regime
Table: Angola MPSA Main Fiscal Terms
Licensing Regime
Table: Angola MPSA Main Contract Terms
Licensing Rounds
Table: Angola 2015 Onshore Bid Round
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Angola Oil Refineries
Oil Storage Facilities
Table: Angola Onshore Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Trade Facilities
Table: Angola Oil Trade Facilities
LNG Terminals
Table: Angola LNG Terminals
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players In Angola's Oil & Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Sonangol
BP Angola
Chevron
Eni Angola Production
Esso Exploration Angola
Total Exploration Angola
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil
Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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