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Angola Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

Angola Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The outlook for Angola's oil sector remains broadly positive, with highly prospective offshoreacreage and a number of major projects under development. However, sustained lower oil prices posedownside risk to production growth post-2020, as rapid natural decline rates and a slowdown in investmentcombine to undercut output levels. Gas production will remain limited throughout our 10-year forecastperiod due to low domestic consumption, unfavourable pricing dynamics and demand constraints in keyexport markets.

Key trends and developments in Angola's oil and gas sector include:

Angola will see continued exploration of its prospective offshore waters. However, we expect aslowdown in high-cost, high-risk ultra-deepwater and pre-salt drilling as companies look to rein in capitalexpenditure and exercise tighter fiscal discipline.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Angola 2013-2019)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Angola 2019-2024)
Table: Major Planned Exploration Drilling
Upstream Projects
Table: Angola's Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Angola 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Angola 2019-2024)
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Angola 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Angola 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dampen Upstream Outlook
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Emergent Producers Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles
Mature Producers Continue To Underperform Their Potential
Falling Oil Price Trims Rewards
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Angola - Risk/Reward Index
Angola Upstream Rating - Overview
Angola Downstream Rating - Overview
Market Overview
Angola Energy Market Overview
Table: Upstream Projects
Overview/State Role
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
International Energy Relations
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Refineries In Angola
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players In Angola's Oil And Gas Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Sonangol
Chevron
Esso Exploration Angola
BP Angola
Total Exploration Angola
Eni Angola Production
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa Oil&Gas Regional Overview
Lower Risk Appetite Slowing Exploration Drive
Unconventionals: A New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
High-Risk Continent
Downstream Blues
Global Industry Overview
Global Industry Overview - 5 Themes For 2015: Oil & Gas
Table: LNG Export Terminals At Pre-FID Stage
Appendix
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Angola - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption And Net Exports (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption And Net Exports (Angola 2019-2024)
Angola - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Angola 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Angola 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Angola 2019-2024)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption And Net Exports (Angola 2013-2018)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption And Net Exports (Angola 2019-2024)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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