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Algeria Power Report 2015

Algeria Power Report 2015

BMI View: Algeria has ambitious investment programme over 2015-2024, which will be driving strong gasgeneration growth. Historically strong gas-fired generation growth rates are supportive of further steadycapacity growth, additionally the political situation is relatively stable and Algeria brought a sizeable460MW Biskra gas plant online ahead of schedule last year. BMI considers these to be positive signs tospur the gas capacity growth.

Algerian state-owned incumbent Sonulgaz is aiming to build nearly 28GW of new capacity by 2025. Theutility claims that 15.4GW of this capacity has already been allocated and over the next three years 14.2GWof new capacity will come online, most of which will be gas-fired. BMI has a fairly bullish view on thiscapacity coming online. Despite lower oil and gas prices, which are detrimental to the revenues that theAlgerian state will be receiving, BMI's Country Risk team believes the Algerian GDP will 3.4% CAGR onaverage over 2015-2019. As another positive sign. Sonulgaz brought the fairly sizable 460MW Biskra gasfiredplant online early. BMI also believes that domestically available gas will help utilities cut thefeedstock prices and make it cheaper to develop new gas-fired generation. As a result, BMI believes gasfiredgeneration will increase over 2015-2024, sidelining renewable generation growth.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Algeria Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Algeria 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Algeria Power Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024)
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2018)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Algeria 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
MENA Power RRI
Algeria Power Risk/Reward Ratings
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Algeria Power Projects Database
Table: Algeria Major Projects - Power
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
MEA Power: Key Regional Themes
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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