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Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Algeria Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The outlook on Algerian oil production is heavily bearish, due to rapid decline rates at matureproducing fields and the small pipeline of projects under development. The outlook on gas is slightly morepositive, although strong domestic consumption growth will continue to weigh on exports. Reversinglonger-term production declines depends on pulling increased foreign investment into the sector. However,the prospects are clouded by an unattractive fiscal and regulatory regime and the weakened commodityprice environment.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

Algeria has substantial underexplored acreage. However, exploration will remain limited due toSonatrach's strained financial position and a lack of foreign involvement in the sector.

The long-term outlook on oil and gas production is heavily bearish. A spate of small to medium-sizedprojects will support medium-term production growth, but a lack of new projects scheduled to comeonstream beyond 2018-2019 will see decline rates outpacing new production.

Oil and gas consumption will continue to grow, as pervasive subsidies fuel inefficient consumptionpatterns.

The combination of rising consumption and falling production will severely undercut exports of oil andgas towards the end of our forecast period to 2025. Revenue will be further impacted by sustained lowercommodity prices.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Algeria 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Total Mean Undiscovered Conventional Resources In Basins Covering Algeria
Table: Algeria Fourth International Bid Round Block Awards
Upstream Projects
Table: Algeria Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Algeria 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Algeria 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Algeria 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Algeria 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Algeria 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline & LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Algeria LNG Contracts
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Crude Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Algeria 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential
Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity
Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Algeria - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Algeria Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Overview
Licensing Regime
Table: Algeria Model PSC Main Licensing Terms
Fiscal Regime
Table: Algeria Model PSC Main Fiscal Terms
Licensing Rounds
Table: Algeria 2014 Licensing Round
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
LNG Terminals
Table: Algeria LNG Export Terminals
Oil Refineries
Table: Algeria Oil Refineries
Gas Pipelines
Table: Algeria Main Gas Export Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players In The Algerian Energy Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Enterprise Nationale Sonatrach
Anadarko
Eni Algeria Production
BP
Total
Repsol
BHP Petroleum
Cepsa
Statoil
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil
Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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