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The world is interconnected and complex. Understanding and simplifying it is difficult. At BMI Research, that challenge is what inspires us.

Through ‘Total Analysis,’ our unique, reflexive approach linking macroeconomic, industry and financial market analysis, we help clients gain unparalleled insight across 24 industries and 200 global markets.

For more than 30 years, our forecasts, data and analyses have been used by multinationals, governments and financial institutions to guide critical strategic, tactical and investment decisions. Clients include a majority of Global Fortune 500 companies.

With offices in London, New York, Singapore and Pretoria, BMI Research is part of Fitch Group, a global leader in financial information services.

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5520 Reports from BMI Research

  • Switzerland Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... Switzerland's open economy, although consumer spending will play a larger role over the long term. The government's robust fiscal position implies it will maintain its safe haven status and be able to step in and ... Read More

  • Taiwan Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... expand by 2.5% in 2018 as the moderation in export demand weighs on Taiwan's export-oriented growth outlook. However, efforts to develop the Asian Silicon Valley are gaining traction and ongoing development programmes will lend some ... Read More

  • Uganda Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... that the change increases the risks of a power vacuum in the event that Museveni unexpectedly departs the scene due to death or illness, as it reduces the need for a succession plan to be ... Read More

  • Barbados and Guyana Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... As a result, we maintain our real GDP growth forecasts at 1.2% in 2018 and 1.4% in 2019. With persistently wide fiscal deficits, the government will continue to pursue politically unpopular consolidation efforts. Political uncertainty ... Read More

  • Botswana Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... expenditure in government budgets will offer further support to the country's real GDP growth. Botswana is likely to benefit from continued political stability in the run up to the 2019 general elections, as an economic ... Read More

  • Canada Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... Risk Report Q3 2018 The Canadian economy will slow in 2018-19 as robust private con-sumption grinds to a more sustainable level. Monetary tightening from the Bank of Canada will help to support the Canadian dollar. Read More

  • Central Asia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... expand by an average of 4.6% from 2018-2019. Ongoing efforts aimed at increasing the attractiveness of the country to skilled human capital will also provide support. We continue to hold a downbeat outlook on the ... Read More

  • Denmark Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... demographics and high private sector debt. The large debt burden of the private sector presents significant sys-temic risks. Low interest rates have allowed households to reduce their debt burdens proportionally to their incomes and to ... Read More

  • Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... spending. Tourism and related services will continue to be bright spots, provid-ing tailwinds to the economy. Political risk is likely to subside in the Dominican Republic in 2018. Government attempts to address corruption allegations and ... Read More

  • Ethiopia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... opportunities in the manufacturing and power sectors. Ethiopia's current account deficit will narrow in 2018, supported by a more competitive currency, though we note that these tailwinds are unlikely to last. Meanwhile, Ethiopia's external position ... Read More

  • Jamaica Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... of austerity measures will further buoy growth over the long term. The JLP government will move ahead with IMF-sponsored reforms in 2018 aimed at boosting stability and economic growth. Central bank reform and reductions in ... Read More

  • Kosovo and Montenegro Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... likely that both countries will show little willingness to improve ties over the coming quarters. This will continue to weigh heavily on Kosovo's long-term political environ-ment, with our long-term political score coming in at a ... Read More

  • Libya Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... Even if held, the elections are by no means guaranteed to deliver widespread stabil-ity – particularly if they are rushed, without securing support from a large number of Libya's various groups and militias. Rising oil ... Read More

  • Mauritius Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... treaty with India will weigh on the finance, tourism and manufacturing sectors, although construction will grow strongly. From 2020 onwards, we expect growth to accelerate as Mauritius completes its transition to being a major transhipment ... Read More

  • Mongolia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... co-ordination over the coming years. Meanwhile, Mongolia remains highly economi-cally dependent on China, and we expect relations between the two countries to advance further over the coming years, which will likely benefit the landlocked nation's ... Read More

  • Rwanda Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... continued social stability and broad policy continuity. That said, rising tensions in East Africa could threaten Rwanda's security. Over a longer-term period, though, the risks to political stability have increased. The leader's prolonged stint in ... Read More

  • Sri Lanka Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... to pick up on the back of improved external market access, a pick-up in infrastructure projects and sustained growth in tourism arrivals. We forecast Sri Lanka's current account deficit to narrow to 1.9% of GDP ... Read More

  • Thailand Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... 2019. We forecast the Thai economy to grow by an average of 3.5% over the next five years as the country's new constitution should provide policy continuity regardless of the elec-tion outcome, and continued business ... Read More

  • Trinidad and Tobago Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... to structural constraints that also limit medium-term growth prospects. The fiscal deficit will narrow in light of rebounding energy sector revenues. However, public financing needs will continue to strain the domestic financial system. The external ... Read More

  • Tunisia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... However, a low turnout would further widen the gap between the political sphere and the population, increasing the risks of renewed widespread protests. We only expect a modest acceleration of growth in 2018, as the ... Read More

  • Albania Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... major point of contention that led to large protests in early 2018, opposi-tion parties will find other focal points for their attempts to force the government to step down. Albanian economic growth will remain buoyed ... Read More

  • Armenia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... tailwind to economic activity in Armenia. Our Commodities team has raised our copper price forecast to USD7,000/tonne in 2018 and USD7,100/tonne in 2019. Alongside recovering copper prices, favourable domestic credit conditions will be supportive of ... Read More

  • Australia Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... high share of government spending relative to GDP; (3) still subdued terms of trade; and (4) the growing risk of deflation. These impediments will result in real GDP growth averaging 2.1% over the next decade, ... Read More

  • Bosnia-Herzegovina Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... October's vote, a scenario that would effectively paralyse the policy-making process. The recent unlocking of IMF and other international credit lines should support badly-needed investment in infrastructure and provide a moderate boost to economic growth ... Read More

  • Bulgaria Country Risk Report Q3 2018

    ... demand and a cyclical growth upswing among its European trading partners will help sustain Bulgaria's robust near-term growth outlook. However, over the longer-term, greater structural reform is needed in order to arrest stagnating productivity growth. Read More

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