The Mobile services in emerging Asia–Pacific: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

The Mobile services in emerging Asia–Pacific: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

The EMAP region is home to some of the most dynamic telecoms markets in the world. This report examines key trends and drivers, and provides comprehensive telecoms mobile market forecasts for the emerging Asia–Pacific region and for six individual countries.

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Executive summary
Worldwide trends
Worldwide: mobile handset data and next-generation access broadband services will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide
Regional trends
Mobile: ARPU grew in 2016 due to increased data monetisation, but the decline seen in 2017 will continue over the forecast period
Mobile: penetration will continue to increase in most countries, and will only decline in Cambodia and Malaysia due to a fall in multi-SIM ownership
Mobile: the fall in ARPU in China caused by government guidelines on mobile data pricing will drive the fall in ARPU in the region
Mobile: increasing subscriber numbers and growing mobile data revenue will ensure that the overall mobile service revenue will continue to grow
Country-level trends
China: government initiatives and intervention have driven substantial growth in the market and will continue to shape growth
Indonesia: the competitive environment in the mobile market will become healthier due to a change in operator strategy
Malaysia: operator expansion into the fixed market should keep overall mobile revenue stable, despite a saturated and competitive market
Philippines: the end of the duopoly in the mobile segment will bring more competition to the market
Thailand: operators will continue to compete on network quality in the mobile market
Vietnam: operators continue to try to entice customers to migrate to 4G packages
Forecast methodology and assumptions
Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge
Examples of forecast input drivers
About the authors and Analysys Mason
About the authors
Analysys Mason’s consulting and research are uniquely positioned
Research from Analysys Mason
Consulting from Analysys Mason
List of figures:
Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, emerging Asia-Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 2: Mobile service revenue by location, emerging Asia–Pacific and worldwide, 2012–2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by mobile service type, and mobile ARPU, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 5: Mobile connections by type, emerging Asia–Pacific (million), 2013–2023
Figure 6a: Mobile penetration by country, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 6b: Mobile penetration by country, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 7a: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 7b: Mobile ARPU by country, emerging Asia–Pacific, 2013–2023
Figure 8: Mobile ARPU, China (CNY per month), 2013–2023
Figure 9: Mobile connections by type, China (billion), 2013–2023
Figure 10: Mobile ARPU, Indonesia (IDR thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 11: Mobile connections by type, Indonesia (million), 2013–2023
Figure 12: Mobile ARPU, Malaysia (MYR per month), 2013–2023
Figure 13: Mobile connections by type, Malaysia (million), 2013–2023
Figure 14: Mobile ARPU, Philippines (PHP per month), 2013–2023
Figure 15: Mobile connections by type, Philippines (million), 2013–2023
Figure 16: Mobile ARPU, Thailand (THB per month), 2013–2023
Figure 17: Mobile connections by type, Thailand (million), 2013–2023
Figure 18: Mobile ARPU, Vietnam (VND thousand per month), 2013–2023
Figure 19: Mobile connections by type, Vietnam (million), 2013–2023"

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