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The Latin America telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

The Latin America telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

Telecoms revenue growth in Latin America will be slow as mobile data monetisation and fixed broadband upselling will counteract a declining market in mobile voice. Economic uncertainty will also suppress revenue growth, but we expect the competitive environment across the region to ease off a little. This report examines the key
trends and drivers, and provides telecoms market forecasts for the region and for six individual countries.

Please note: this report is delivered as a zip file.  (PDF and Excel)


Executive summary

 

Revenue in Latin America will continue to grow during the forecast period, but at a slowing pace

 

Mobile data and fixed broadband will drive revenue growth in Latin America

 

We expect revenue growth in mobile markets to outpace fixed markets in most countries in Latin America

 

Key trends, drivers and assumptions for the mobile and fixed markets

 

Key implications and recommendations for telecoms operators

 

Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison

 

Geographical coverage: The share of NGA will be lowest in Mexico, while the share of 4G connections will lag behind in Colombia and Peru

 

Market context: Economic growth is expected across the region

 

Revenue and ARPU: Revenue growth will slow down as emerging markets approach saturation

 

Mobile penetration: Convergence towards approximately 110% will continue

 

Mobile connections: The number of 4G connections will grow rapidly, but 3G will continue to grow

 

Smartphones and LTE: Operators have been successful in increasing smartphone penetration, but more will be needed to achieve saturation

 

Mobile ARPU: Trends will be stable in most countries due to the contrasting impact of both competition and data usage uplift

 

Data and revenue by generation: Operators should exploit the surging demand for mobile data in Latin America

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