The Fixed services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2018–2023

Fixed broadband penetration in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) will grow in all modelled markets, supported by national broadband plans and competition. This report examines the trends and drivers within the fixed service market, and provides comprehensive fixed market forecasts for the region and six individual countries.

Table of contents:

Executive summary

Worldwide trends

Worldwide: next-generation access broadband services and mobile handset data will drive telecoms retail revenue growth worldwide

Regional trends

MENA: broadband market penetration will grow in most countries, driven by consumer and enterprise demand and new infrastructure investments

MENA: broadband penetration of households will grow in all modelled countries, supported by competition and national broadband plans

MENA: speed upgrades and the improved access and affordability of fibre services will help to ensure that the broadband average revenue per line remains high

MENA: the broadband market will grow steadily, while voice revenue will decline due to decreasing usage and increased competition from mobile

Country-level trends

Egypt: the telecoms sector has promising prospects supported by the planned investment in fixed-line infrastructure

Kuwait: the fixed market is poised for revenue growth thanks to investment

Oman: the number of fixed voice connections will grow despite the expected decline in revenue, while the outlook for fixed broadband remains positive

Qatar: economic isolation will negatively affect the market growth, but preparations for the 2022 FIFA World Cup should add some momentum

Saudi Arabia: economic reforms and investment in fixed infrastructure should help the market’s slow

UAE: investment in infrastructure and capabilities will help operators to capture opportunities beyond broadband connectivity

Forecast methodology and assumptions

Our forecast model is supported by sound market knowledge

Examples of forecast input drivers

About the authors and Analysys Mason

List of figures:

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by type and total service revenue, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 2: Fixed service revenue by location, Middle East and North Africa and worldwide, 2012–2022
Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue and growth rate by service type, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 5: Broadband connections by technology, Middle East and North Africa (million), 2013–2023
Figure 6: Fixed broadband household penetration by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 7: Fixed broadband access ASPU by country, Middle East and North Africa, 2013–2023
Figure 8: Broadband connections by technology, Egypt (million), 2013–2023
Figure 9: Fixed connections by type, Egypt (million), 2013–2023
Figure 10: Broadband connections by technology, Kuwait (thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 11: Fixed connections by type, Kuwait (thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 12: Broadband connections by technology, Oman (thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 13: Fixed connections by type, Oman (thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 14: Broadband connections by technology, Qatar (thousand), 2013–2023
Figure 15: Fixed connections by type, Qatar (million), 2013–2023
Figure 16: Broadband connections by technology, Saudi Arabia (million), 2013–2023
Figure 17: Fixed connections by type, Saudi Arabia (million), 2013–2023
Figure 18: Broadband connections by technology, UAE (million), 2013–2023
Figure 19: Fixed connections by type, UAE (million), 2013–2023

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