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The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

The Fixed services in Central and Eastern Europe: trends and forecasts 2017–2022

We estimate that fixed broadband and IPTV revenue will increase by EUR1.7 billion in Central and Eastern Europe by 2022, driven by large-scale next-generation access roll-out. We examine key trends and drivers and provide a comprehensive fixed telecoms market forecast for the region and for 14 individually modelled countries in this report.


Executive summary

The recovery in overall telecoms revenue will continue during the next few years, driven by fixed network investments

Worldwide trends

Worldwide: Fixed service revenue will continue to increase over the forecast period, reaching USD621 billion in 2022

 

Regional trends

Broadband and IPTV services will drive fixed revenue growth in the region

Fixed services: NGA network deployment and increasing FBB coverage will be the focus of fixed telecoms operators

Broadband: Penetration will increase across the region, but pace of progress will vary due to economical and geographical diversity

 

Country-level trends

Czech Republic: Competition is driving market decline, but growth will return by 2022

Poland: Fixed network investments and a focus on service take-up will drive NGA broadband access revenue

Russia: Increasing fibre penetration and the introduction of FMC bundles will soften broadband ARPU decline

Turkey: Household FBB penetration will increase to 70% and almost half of households will have NGA access by 2022

 

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Telecoms and pay-TV retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Central and Eastern Europe, 2012–2022

Figure 2: Fixed service revenue in Central and Eastern Europe and worldwide, 2012–2022

Figure 3: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012–2022

Figure 4: Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016–2022

Figure 5: Connections by type, and growth rates, Central and Eastern Europe, 2016–2022

Figure 6: Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012–2022

Figure 7: Residential fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Central and Eastern Europe, 2012–2022

Figure 8: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Czech Republic, 2012–2022

Figure 9: Fixed ASPU by service type, Czech Republic, 2012–2022

Figure 10: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Czech Republic

Figure 11: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Poland, 2012–2022

Figure 12: Fixed ASPU by service type, Poland, 2012–2022

Figure 13: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Poland

Figure 14: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Russia, 2012–2022

Figure 15: Fixed ASPU by service type, Russia, 2012–2022

Figure 16: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Russia

Figure 17: Fixed penetration rates by service type, Turkey, 2012–2022

Figure 18: Fixed ASPU by service type, Turkey, 2012–2022

Figure 19: Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, Turkey

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