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The Fixed broadband services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2015–2020

The Fixed broadband services in the Middle East and North Africa: trends and forecasts 2015–2020

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region's fixed telecoms retail revenue accounts for 4% of the fixed telecoms retail market worldwide and for 31% of the region's total telecoms retail revenue. This report summarises our 5-year forecast for MENA and provides commentary on four key countries in the region.


Executive summary
Executive summary
Worldwide trends
Worldwide: MENA’s fixed retail revenue growth to will outpace that in EMAP, Europe and North America
Worldwide: FTTH/B connections will increase to million, accounting for of total fixed broadband connections
Worldwide: Household penetration will increase from to because of GDP per capita growth and network roll-out
Regional trends
MENA: Fixed retail revenue accounts for of the fixed retail market worldwide and of MENA’s total retail revenue
MENA: Broadband connections will significantly increase, driven by fibre adoption, but DSL will retain the largest share
MENA: Household penetration will grow, driven by market competition and supported by national broadband plans
MENA: We model eleven telecoms markets, which will account for about of MENA’s telecoms service revenue in
MENA: Broadband and IPTV revenue will grow at a CAGR of to USD billion, driven by roll-outs in GCC countries
Country-level trends
Oman: Consumer demand and government-backed roll-out plans will boost FTTH take-up
Qatar: Fast technological transformation from DSL to fibre-based access will drive service take-up
Saudi Arabia: Operators’ roll-out plans will drive take-up, and the business segment will help reduce ASPU erosion
UAE: Population and economy growth will drive demand for fixed high-speed broadband services
Forecast methodology and assumptions
We have a disciplined process of forecasting; our on-the-ground analysts and consultants collaborate closely to assess market dynamics
Our forecasts are informed by primary and secondary research for data collection, a rigorous methodology and our analysis of external drivers
A robust and comparable set of historical data is the starting point for our forecasts; this involves three main activities
About the authors and Analysys Mason
About the authors
About Analysys Mason
List of figures
Figure Figure Telecoms retail revenue by service type and total service revenue (retail and wholesale), Middle East and North Africa,
Figure CAGRs for fixed and mobile retail revenue ( and market size by total retail revenue ( , by region, worldwide
Figure Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, worldwide,
Figure Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, worldwide,
Figure Telecoms retail revenue by service type, fixed voice and fixed broadband ASPU, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Telecoms retail revenue by service type, total service revenue and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Connections by type, and growth rates, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Fixed broadband connections by type, and fixed voice, IPTV and mobile broadband connections, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Fixed broadband penetration of households by country, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Mobile connections by technology generation and fixed broadband household penetration, by country, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Fixed penetration rates by service type, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Fixed ASPU by service type, Middle East and North Africa,
Figure Summary of key fixed market drivers and assumptions, MENA
Figure Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Oman,
Figure Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Qatar,
Figure   Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, Saudi Arabia,
Figure Fixed revenue by service type and growth rates, UAE,
Figure Data, research principles and external factors that inform our forecasting methodology

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