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Mongolia Mining Report Q4 2009

Business Monitor International
October 21, 2009
50 Pages - Pub ID: BMI2481285
 
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Countries covered: Mongolia

Mongolia’s mining industry has great potential. Its mineral resources are largely unexplored andunexploited. That said, the exploration that has been carried out to date has found sizable reserves ofcoal, copper, fluorspar and gold. Full scale extraction of these resources has occurred at a number ofmines. In total, about 80 types of minerals have been discovered in Mongolia. However, the biggestdrawback to foreign investment remains regulatory issues. In May 2009, the Mongolian governmentwas forced to defend itself in the Frankfurt Court of International Arbitration, after it was sued forUS$1bn by Russian mining company Altan Dornod Mongol. As reported by Mongol News, thecompany accuses the Mongolian authorities of taking excessive taxation from Russian investments,claiming that the 68% windfall tax is against international law as Mongolia and Russia have signed abilateral agreement to avoid double taxation for companies operating between the territories. TheMongolian Taxation Authority claims that Altan Dornod Mongol owes MNT56bn (US$39.6mn) andhas subsequently shut down the company’s bank accounts and is threatening to confiscate its mininglicenses.

Meanwhile, BMI remains concerned about ongoing delays to the finalisation of what will be alandmark agreement over drilling rights at the Oyu Tolgoi gold and copper mine, although we expectthe deal to be finalised in H109, negotiations are dragging on. When finally signed, the deal shouldspark a resultant surge in FDI inflows through the remainder of 2009 and 2010. Indeed, the importancewhich Oyu Tolgoi, and the underlying legal contract between the government and Anglo-Australian RioTinto and Canada’s Ivanhoe will play for Mongolia’s growth dynamics cannot be downplayed. As thebiggest foreign investment project in Mongolia’s history, we expect the benchmark mining agreementto not only increase investment inflows in the short term, but also serve as the framework upon whichfuture projects will be based.

Yet, in late April the Democratic Party, which is a partner in Mongolia’s coalition government,announced its reservations about the draft investment agreement governing the project. Though mostlegislators in Ulan Bator remain keen on finalising the landmark mining deal, ongoing disagreementswithin parliament continue to obstruct conclusion of the agreement.

Key participants in the mining sector include: Centerra Gold, Erdene Gold, Ivanhoe Mines, QGX,Solomon Resources, and South Gobi Energy Resources (a subsidiary of Ivanhoe Mines). Key exportmarkets include China, Canada, Japan, South Korea and the US.

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