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European Mortgages 2003

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Jan. 5, 2004 - 317 Pages


Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT DATAMONITOR 2

CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3

Underlying drivers of European Mortgage Markets 3

Interest rates are low across Europe 3

Marriage has become less common while the prevalence of divorce has increased 5

Key issues in European mortgage markets 7

The importance of owner occupation differs greatly within Europe 7

European mortgage market gross advances amounted to EUR 773.4 billion at the end of 2002 9

Developments in the mortgage bond market 10

Country specific chapters 11

The amendment of the Mortgage Bank Act, 2002 11

Accounting for the Spanish house price boom 12

Competitor profile: Rabobank 13

A brief history of Rabobank 13

Rabobank has a 24 per cent share of the Dutch mortgage market 17

A SWOT analysis of Rabobank 18

Forecast of gross advances in the Swedish mortgage market, 2003-2007 20

The Future of European Mortgage Markets 22

CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION 48

What is this report about? 48

Who is the target reader? 48

How to use this report 49

Scope 50

Related reports 50

CHAPTER 3 UNDERLYING DRIVERS OF EUROPEAN MORTGAGE MARKETS 52

Macroeconomic conditions 52

With a few exceptions unemployment has fallen in Europe over the last decade 52

Interest rates are low across Europe 56

Real GDP growth has slowed in the majority of European economies 59

Demographic factors 60

Population size and structure 61

Households are decreasing in size across Europe 64

Marriage has become less common while the prevalence of divorce has increased 66

There is wide variation in the age at which people leave the parental home within Europe 70

Conclusion 73

CHAPTER 4 KEY ISSUES IN EUROPEAN MORTGAGE MARKETS 74

The size and composition of European housing stock 74

The number of dwellings per 1,000 inhabitants has increased across the European Union 75

The importance of owner occupation differs greatly within Europe 77

Ireland can boast the youngest dwelling stock in the European Union 81

House prices, 1998-2002 83

Ireland, the UK, Spain and the Netherlands have seen house prices rocket 83

Mortgage lending, 1998-2002 88

European mortgage market gross advances amounted to EUR 773.4 billion during 2002 88

European mortgage market balances outstanding stood at EUR 3,702 billion at the end of 2002 90

Mortgage balances outstanding as a percentage of GDP vary widely within Europe 93

The number of residential mortgage loans advanced in Europe surpassed 3.1 million in 2002 96

Mortgage product trends within Europe 98

Variable and fixed rate mortgage products vary in popularity within Europe 98

The changing face of mortgage funding in Europe 104

Explaining the ways that mortgage lending is funded 104

Developments in the mortgage bond market 108

Regulation of European mortgage markets 109

Basel II: big changes on the horizon in 2006 109

European Code of Conduct on Home Loans 113

Mortgage distribution channels 115

Branches remain the most important mortgage distribution channel 115

Conclusion 119

CHAPTER 5 THE FRENCH MORTGAGE MARKET 121

Summary of key issues 121

State involvement is significant in the French property market 124

Competitor profile: Crédit Agricole 125

A brief history of Crédit Agricole 125

A leader in the French mortgage market 128

La Poste: a new competitive threat to Crédit Agricole 132

A SWOT analysis of Crédit Agricole 133

Forecast of gross advances in the French mortgage market, 2003-2007 135

Economic difficulties will harm the mortgage market 135

CHAPTER 6 THE GERMAN MORTGAGE MARKET 138

Summary of key issues 138

The low level of homeownership: a restriction on the German mortgage market 141

Regulation 143

The amendment of the Mortgage Bank Act, 2002 144

Competitive profile: BHW 145

The Bauspar system explained 145

A brief history of BHW 149

Although Bauspar is still its primary product, BHW has undertaken a major shift in focus over the last few years 152

A SWOT analysis of BHW 154

Forecast of gross advances in the German mortgage market, 2003-2007 156

A higher level of homeownership will boost the mortgage market but only over the long-term 156

CHAPTER 7 THE IRISH MORTGAGE MARKET 159

Summary of key issues 159

Irish house prices have rocketed 162

Regulation 165

The introduction of the Pfandbrief concept into Ireland 165

Recent developments in Irish housing policy 165

Competitor profile: First Active 167

A brief history of First Active 167

First Active is the fourth largest mortgage lender in Ireland 171

First Active brings the current account mortgage comes to Ireland 174

A SWOT analysis of First Active 176

Forecast of gross advances in the Irish mortgage market, 2003-2007 178

Affordability constraints will hinder the market’s growth 178

CHAPTER 8 THE ITALIAN MORTGAGE MARKET 181

Summary of key issues 181

The ever-growing Italian owner occupied sector 184

Regulation 186

The Banking Law 186

Competitor profile: Banca Woolwich 186

A brief history of Banca Woolwich 186

Banca Woolwich has become a significant force in the Italian mortgage market 187

A SWOT analysis of Banca Woolwich 193

Forecast of gross advances in the Italian mortgage market, 2003-2007 195

The increasing propensity for Italians to borrow will fuel a growing mortgage market 195

CHAPTER 9 THE DUTCH MORTGAGE MARKET 198

Summary of key issues 198

Following several ‘hot’ years Dutch price increases have now slowed 201

Creating a favorable environment for Dutch home buyers 203

Regulation 204

The 2001 income tax reforms: affecting second home owners 205

Competitor profile: Rabobank 205

A brief history of Rabobank 205

Rabobank has a 24 per cent share of the Dutch mortgage market 209

A SWOT analysis of Rabobank 211

Forecast of gross advances in the Dutch mortgage market, 2003-2007 213

The increasing level of owner occupation and steadily increasing house prices will account for rising gross advances 213

CHAPTER 10 THE SPANISH MORTGAGE MARKET 216

Summary of key issues 216

Accounting for the Spanish house price boom 219

Regulation 222

Improving the position of the cajas 222

Competitor profile: Banco Popular 224

A brief history of Banco Popular 224

Banco Popular has increased its presence in Spain 224

Banco Popular is relatively well positioned across its product portfolio 226

Banco Popular’s expansion into Portugal: examining the motives and the likely outcomes 230

A SWOT analysis of Banco Popular 232

Forecast of gross advances in the Spanish mortgage market, 2003-2007 233

Growth will remain strong in the Spanish market 233

CHAPTER 11 THE SWEDISH MORTGAGE MARKET 236

Summary of key issues 236

A low level of construction is constraining the Swedish mortgage market 239

Regulation 241

Bringing the Swedish covered bond market into line with those elsewhere in Europe 241

Competitor profile: Spintab 242

A brief history of Spintab 242

Maintaining operating profits despite falling staff numbers 244

A diversified distribution network 245

Taking top spot in the mortgage market 246

A SWOT analysis of Spintab 249

Forecast of gross advances in the Swedish mortgage market, 2003-2007 251

The economy’s reaction to the rejection of the euro is key 251

CHAPTER 12 THE UK MORTGAGE MARKET 254

Summary of key issues 254

UK house prices have exploded 258

Regulation 264

The FSA has a new regulatory remit 264

Competitor profile: Northern Rock 266

A brief history of Northern Rock 266

Northern Rock: a small but successful mortgage lender 268

Accounting for Northern Rock’s success 272

A SWOT analysis of Northern Rock 277

Forecast of gross advances in the UK mortgage market, 2003-2007 279

Higher interest rates will make it a different environment over the next five years 279

CHAPTER 13 THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN MORTGAGE MARKETS 282

Conclusions from the market forecasts 282

The changing dynamics of the forecast markets 282

Slower growth will result in a new business environment over the next five years 286

Newly emerging European mortgage markets 287

Market conditions are now improving 288

Mortgage markets have benefited as countries have prepared for EU membership 290

CHAPTER 14 APPENDIX 294

Supplementary data 294

Underlying drivers of European Mortgage Markets 294

Key Issues in European Mortgage Markets 297

Country specific chapters 298

Definitions 302

Research methodology 305

Forecasting methodology 305

Bibliography 306

Relevant Datamonitor publications 306

Reports 306

Briefings 307

Future Datamonitor Publications 308

Relevant links 308

Europe wide associations and organizations 309

Country specific associations and organizations 309

Lenders 311

Datamonitor Financial Services Consulting 314

SPP writing team 316

How to contact experts in your industry 317





LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Eurozone interest rates since the introduction of the single currency on January 1st 1999 4

Table 2: Countries and competitors covered in chapters four to eleven 11

Table 3: Countries and competitors covered in chapters four to eleven 50

Table 4: Unemployment as a percentage of the economically active population in Europe, 1993-1997 55

Table 5: Unemployment as a percentage of the economically active population in Europe, 1998-2002 56

Table 6: Eurozone interest rates since the introduction of the single currency on January 1st 1999 57

Table 7: Real GDP growth rate in European countries, 2000-2002 59

Table 8: Population change in European Union countries by source of change, 1980 and 2002 63

Table 9: Life expectancy at birth in European Union countries, 1980 and 2002 64

Table 10: Average household size in European Union countries, 1980-2001 65

Table 11: Marriages per 1,000 of the population in the European Union, 1980 and 2002 68

Table 12: Rate of divorce per 1,000 people in European Union countries, 1980 and 2002 70

Table 13: Age upon which 50 per cent of young people are living away from home in European Union member states, 2001 73

Table 14: Dwellings per 1,000 inhabitants in the European Union, 1980-2001 76

Table 15: Percentage of dwelling stock that is in owner occupation within Europe 79

Table 16: Age of dwelling stock in the European Union 83

Table 17: Indexed European house price trends, 1998-2002 86

Table 18: Indexed European house price trends, Q1 2001- Q1 2003 88

Table 19: European mortgage market gross advances, 1998-2002 90

Table 20: European mortgage market balances outstanding, 1998-2002 93

Table 21: Residential mortgage balances outstanding as a percentage of GDP in Europe 96

Table 22: The number of mortgage loans advanced against residential property, 1998-2002 98

Table 23: The varying popularity of variable, short-term fixed and long-term fixed rate mortgage products within selected countries in Europe 101

Table 24: The timescale for the introduction of Basel II within the European Union 111

Table 25: Countries that had achieved 100 per cent implementation of the European Code of Conduct on Home Loans by the end of 2002 114

Table 26: Number of branches in Europe, 2002-2005f 119

Table 27: French mortgage market fact sheet 123

Table 28: French mortgage market fact sheet continued 124

Table 29: Balances outstanding for the five largest lenders in the French mortgage market, 2002 130

Table 30: Forecast gross advances in the French mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 137

Table 31: German mortgage market fact sheet 140

Table 32: German mortgage market fact sheet continued 141

Table 33: Private Bausparkassen in Germany 147

Table 34: Public Bausparkassen in Germany 148

Table 35: Value of new Bauspar savings deposits by private Bausparkasse, 2002 151

Table 37: Forecast of gross advances in the German mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 158

Table 38: Irish mortgage market fact sheet 161

Table 39: Irish mortgage market fact sheet continued 162

Table 40: The percentage of houses priced at more than EUR 200,000 in Dublin and Ireland 164

Table 41: The demutualization of First National Building Society in 1998 was one of a number of demutualizations that have occurred in Ireland since the early 1990s 168

Table 42: Balances outstanding for the five largest lenders in the Irish mortgage market, 2002 173

Table 43: Forecast of gross advances in the Irish mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 180

Table 44: Italian mortgage market fact sheet 183

Table 45: Italian mortgage market fact sheet continued 184

Table 46: Balances outstanding for the six largest lenders in the Italian mortgage market, 2002 191

Table 47: Forecast of gross advances in the Italian mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 197

Table 48: Dutch mortgage market fact sheet 200

Table 49: Dutch mortgage market fact sheet continued 201

Table 50: Average property prices in the Netherlands, 1998-2002 202

Table 51: Key measures of Rabobank’s membership and branch infrastructure, 1998- 2003 H1 208

Table 52: Balances outstanding for the largest five lenders in the Dutch mortgage market, 2002 209

Table 53: Forecast of gross advances in the Dutch mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 215

Table 54: Spanish mortgage market fact sheet 218

Table 55: Spanish mortgage market fact sheet continued 219

Table 56: Nominal and real mortgage rates in Europe, Q3 2002 222

Table 57: The five largest lenders in the Spanish mortgage market, 2002 228

Table 58: Forecast gross advances in the Spanish mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 235

Table 59: Swedish mortgage market fact sheet 238

Table 60: Swedish mortgage market fact sheet 239

Table 61: FöreningsSparbanken, Spintab’s parent, is one of the major banking groups in Sweden 243

Table 62: Mortgage credit institutions in Sweden and their ownership 244

Table 63: Spintab’s distribution network 246

Table 64: Balances outstanding for the five largest mortgage credit institutions in Sweden, 2002 248

Table 65: Forecast of gross advances in the Swedish mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 253

Table 66: UK mortgage market fact sheet 257

Table 67: UK mortgage market fact sheet continued 258

Table 68: UK monthly house price increases according to Halifax, 2000-2003 261

Table 69: Housing transactions and the transaction costs associated with moving home in Europe 264

Table 70: Northern Rock’s branch network, 1998-2002 268

Table 71: Balances outstanding for the seven largest lenders in the UK mortgage market, 2002 270

Table 72: Market share of Northern Rock and the five largest UK mortgage lenders, 1998-2002 271

Table 73: Forecast of gross advances in the UK mortgage market, 2003e-2007f 281

Table 74: Forecasts of gross advances in eight European mortgage markets, 2003e-2007f 285

Table 75: Share of gross advances in the eight forecast mortgage markets, 2003e-2007f 285

Table 76: New member states and applicant countries to join the European Union 291

Table 77: Changes in the Swedish base rate since January 1999 294

Table 78: Changes in the Danish base rate since January 1999 295

Table 79: Changes in the UK base rate since January 1999 296

Table 80: Percentage share of total European gross advances by country, 1998-2002 297

Table 81: Percentage share of total European balances outstanding by country, 1998-2002 298

Table 82: Exchange rates applied in the UK and Sweden country specific chapters 298

Table 83: Balances outstanding and market share for the 30 largest lenders in the UK mortgage market, 2002 299

Table 84: Indexed mortgage balances outstanding by competitor in the UK mortgage market, 1998-2002 300

Table 85: Additional competitor balances outstanding data not presented in chapter eight and eleven 300

Table 86: Competitor information for markets not covered in chapters four to eleven 301





LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: The eurozone rate and the Bank of England base rate remain low. However, at times since 1999 there has been a large differential between them 5

Figure 2: Marriage trends in Sweden, and particularly in Denmark, have bucked those in the rest of Europe over the last two decades 7

Figure 3: Three countries in Europe have 80 per cent or more of their dwelling stock in owner occupation while a further five have less than 60 per cent of dwellings in this form of tenure 8

Figure 4: In 2002 mortgage market gross advances in the UK accounted for more than 40 per cent of the European total 10

Figure 5: At the end of the first half of 2003 Rabobank’s total assets stood at more than EUR 400 billion 15

Figure 6: Rabobank has decreased its number of member banks despite a more than 100 per cent increase in its number of members 16

Figure 7: A SWOT analysis of Rabobank 20

Figure 8: Gross advances in the Swedish mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth of 3.3 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 28.1 billion by the end of the period 22

Figure 9: Over the next five years the UK will remain the largest mortgage market in Europe judged in terms of gross advances. However, it will no longer be the fastest growing 23

Figure 10: With the exception of Germany, unemployment as a percentage of the economically active population in the five major European economies has fallen over the last decade 54

Figure 11: The eurozone rate and the Bank of England base rate remain low. However, at times since 1999 there has been a large differential between them 58

Figure 12: In 2002 Ireland had the fastest growing population in the European Union 62

Figure 13: Marriage trends in Sweden, and particularly in Denmark, have bucked those in the rest of Europe over the last two decades 67

Figure 14: The UK is the only EU member state in which divorce has become less common over the last two decades 69

Figure 15: Young people in southern Europe live with their parents for longer than do young people in northern Europe 72

Figure 16: Austria is the only country in the European Union to experience a decrease in the number of dwellings per 1,000 inhabitants over the last two decades 75

Figure 17: Three countries in Europe have 80 per cent or more of their dwelling stock in owner occupation while a further five have less than 60 per cent of dwellings in this form of tenure 78

Figure 18: Ireland has the youngest dwelling stock in the European Union 82

Figure 19: The European house price ‘hot spots’ in recent years have been the Netherlands, Ireland, Spain and the UK 85

Figure 20: In the year to Q1 2003 house prices in Spain and the UK continued to increase rapidly 87

Figure 21: In 2002 mortgage market gross advances in the UK accounted for more than 40 per cent of the European total 89

Figure 22: Balances outstanding in Germany at the end of 2002 were EUR 1068.7 billion, 28.9 per cent of total balances outstanding in Europe 92

Figure 23: In more than ten European countries mortgage balances outstanding are equivalent to less than 50 per cent of GDP 95

Figure 24: In the seven EU counties for which data is available more than 3.1 million mortgage loans were advanced in 2002 97

Figure 25: Variable rate mortgage products are more popular in the UK than anywhere else in Europe. In contrast, in Germany long-term fixed rate products are the most common type of mortgage product 100

Figure 26: In contrast to most other economies in Europe, the UK has both a high penetration of variable rate mortgage loans and high mortgage balances outstanding relative to GDP 104

Figure 27: Using retail deposits is the most common way to fund mortgage lending in Europe 106

Figure 28: Explanation of the risk associated with the use of retail deposits to fund fixed rate mortgage lending 107

Figure 29: Germany accounts for more than 40 per cent of balances outstanding on mortgage bonds in Europe 108

Figure 30: According to the CML’s Annual Housing Finance Survey 2002, 79 per cent of mortgage holders in the UK arranged their current mortgage in a branch 117

Figure 31: Bank branch networks will continue to contract in the years to 2005 albeit not by as much as previously thought 118

Figure 32: Retail banking in France accounts for only 13 per cent of Crédit Agricole’s total number of employees 127

Figure 33: Crédit Agricole and the other four largest lenders in France hold more than 77 per cent of the French mortgage market 129

Figure 34: Mortgage lending is by far the most important type of lending engaged in by Crédit Agricole 131

Figure 35: A SWOT analysis of Crédit Agricole 135

Figure 36: Gross advances in the French mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 2.9 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 52.9 billion by the end of the period 137

Figure 37: BHW is the second largest Bausparkasse in Germany in 2002 based on new Bauspar savings deposits. However, it is some way behind BSH 150

Figure 38: Almost half of BHW’s residential lending book is now in the form of mortgage loans rather than in Bauspar loans 154

Figure 39: A SWOT analysis of BHW 156

Figure 40: Gross advances in the German mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 1.1 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 76.0 billion by the end of the period 158

Figure 41: The rapid increase in Irish house prices is reflected in the increasing percentage of Irish housing that is valued at more than EUR 200,000 163

Figure 42: The history of First Active in Ireland and the UK 170

Figure 43: First Active and the other four largest mortgage lenders in Ireland have a combined 77.1 per cent share of the Irish mortgage market 172

Figure 44: The contribution of residential lending to First Active’s loan book increased slightly between 2001 and 2002 174

Figure 45: A SWOT analysis of First Active 178

Figure 46: Gross advances in the Irish mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 8.1 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 18.2 billion by the end of the period 180

Figure 47: The size of the Italian owner occupied sector has increased by six per cent in under ten years to account for 80 per cent of dwellings in 2002 185

Figure 48: Banca Woolwich’s branch network is dwarfed by networks belonging to its larger competitors 187

Figure 49: With the exception of a slight dip in new business in 2002, Banca Woolwich has grown impressively over the last five years, 1998-2002 188

Figure 50: The top five lenders have a combined 42.7 per cent share of the Italian mortgage market. Banca Woolwich holds an additional 3.1 per cent share 190

Figure 51: 80 per cent of Banca Woolwich’s mortgage customers are introduced by its partners and intermediaries. Of these, Gabetti is by far the most significant 193

Figure 52: A SWOT analysis of Banca Woolwich 195

Figure 53: Gross advances in the Italian mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 8.3 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 78.6 billion by the end of the period 197

Figure 54: Dutch property price increases have slowed over the last two years 202

Figure 55: At the end of the first half of 2003 Rabobank’s total assets stood at more than EUR 400 billion 206

Figure 56: Rabobank has decreased its number of member banks despite a more than 100 per cent increase in its number of members 208

Figure 57: A SWOT analysis of Rabobank 213

Figure 58: Gross advances in the Dutch mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 5.0 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 127.9 billion by the end of the period 215

Figure 59: A low nominal mortgage rate and a relatively high rate of inflation combine to produce a low real mortgage rate in Spain 221

Figure 60: Banco Popular has grown its distribution network and increased its headcount over the last five years 225

Figure 61: Banco Popular and the other four largest lenders in Spain hold a combined 32.9 per cent share of the Spanish mortgage market 227

Figure 62: Boosted by the acquisition of the remaining share of Banco Popular Hipotecario (BPH), Banco Popular’s total loans and discounts during 2002 surpassed EUR 34 billion 229

Figure 63: Banco Popular has spread its lending across Spain thus minimizing its vulnerability to any regional fluctuation in the property market 230

Figure 64: A SWOT analysis of Banco Popular 233

Figure 65: Gross advances in the Spanish mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 9.6 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 112.1 billion by the end of the period 235

Figure 66: Though increasing the number of dwellings built per year in Sweden remains low 240

Figure 67: Significantly decreased staffing costs have contributed to stronger operating profit at Spintab 245

Figure 68: Spintab has a 30.1 per cent share of total lending by mortgage credit institutions in 2002 247

Figure 69: A SWOT analysis of Spintab 250

Figure 70: Gross advances in the Swedish mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth of 3.3 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and amount to EUR 28.1 billion by the end of the period 253

Figure 71: UK house price increases have stabilized in 2003 although they remain fairly strong 260

Figure 72: Northern Rock is a great deal smaller than the big UK high street banks in terms of consolidated total assets, 2002 267

Figure 73: The top five lenders in the UK mortgage market have a combined 60.4 per cent market share. Northern Rock has a 4.5 per cent share 269

Figure 74: Northern Rock has grown faster than larger lenders in the UK mortgage market 271

Figure 75: Compared to the top five competitors in the UK mortgage market, Northern Rock’s cost to income ratio is exceptionally low, 2001-2002 275

Figure 76: In 2003 Northern Rock is fifth most commonly recommended mortgage lender by intermediaries having been third most commonly recommended in 2002 276

Figure 77: A SWOT analysis of Northern Rock 279

Figure 78: Gross advances in the UK mortgage market will increase at a compound annual growth rate of 6.9 per cent between 2003 and 2007 and will amount to EUR 520.5 billion in 2007 281

Figure 79: Over the next five years the UK will remain the largest mortgage market in Europe judged in terms of gross advances. However, it will no longer be the fastest growing 284

Figure 80: The research methodology used to produce European Mortgages 2003 305





Abstract

Introduction
Many European mortgage markets have been buoyant in recent years due to low interest rates and strong housing demand. Yet, the size, structure and composition of European mortgage markets remain intrinsically different. Datamonitor’s latest report European Mortgages 2003 is an invaluable guide to European mortgage markets sizing the markets, providing competitor information and market forecasts.

Scope
Covers all of Europe's major mortgage markets

Incorporates data from a range of primary and secondary sources including mortgage balances outstanding in all European Union countries

Forecasts gross advances in European mortgage markets to 2007

Reasons to Purchase
Unrivalled coverage of Europe's major mortgage markets blending Datamonitor's expert analysis with secondary data from a range of sources

Determine which markets are likely to grow most rapidly over the next five years

Learn about different product trends from across Europe

Scope
Discusses the potential of mortgage markets in Eastern Europe

Report Highlights
European markets have enjoyed (or endured) different house price trends in recent years. While some markets such as those in the UK, Spain, Ireland and the Netherlands have recorded strong property price increases other markets such as those in Germany, France and Italy have not.

The UK continues to account for the largest share of European residential mortgage market gross advances, and in fact in 2002 the UK accounted for more than 40 per cent of the European total.

Given the size of the German population there is the potential for Europe’s largest mortgage market to develop within the country. That such a market has not already developed is the result of the low level of German homeownership and German consumers’ preference for remaining in their properties for a long time once they have become homeowners.



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