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2003-2010 - Container/Vehicle Screening Market Report

Published by: Homeland Security Research Corporation

Published: Apr. 1, 2003 - 226 Pages


Table of Contents



1. SCOPE

1.1. POSSIBLE SCENARIO ANALYSIS

1.2. METHODOLOGY



2. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1. CONTAINERS - A VULNERABILITY GAP THAT MUST BE CLOSED FAST

2.2. THE PROBLEM

2.3. THE FACTS

2.4. CONTAINER AND VEHICLE SCREENING WORLDWIDE CAPACITY

2.5. MAIN CONCLUSIONS



3. THREATS AND TARGETS

3.1. CURRENT CONTAINER THREAT MITIGATION STATUS



4. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - CURRENT/RELEVANT LEGISLATION AND REGULATIONS

4.1. INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANIZATION (IMO) SECURITY PROPOSALS

4.2. THE PORT, MARITIME, AND RAIL SECURITY ACT OF 2001 (S. 1214)

4.3. CONTAINER SECURITY INITIATIVE (CSI)

4.4. CUSTOMS-TRADE PARTNERSHIP AGAINST TERRORISM (C-TPAT)



5. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - INDUSTRY DRIVERS



6. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - INDUSTRY INHIBITORS



7. CURRENT TECHNOLOGIES

7.1. CURRENT TECHNOLOGIES - INTRODUCTION

7.2. COMPARISON OF CURRENT CONTAINER SCREENING TECHNOLOGIES

7.3. X-RAY SYSTEMS

7.4. GAMMA RAY SYSTEMS

7.5. LINAC X-RAY SYSTEMS

7.6. NEUTRON ACTIVATION SYSTEMS

7.7. CONTAINER SCREENING - FIXED SYSTEMS

7.8. CONTAINER SCREENING - RELOCATABLE SYSTEMS

7.9. CONTAINER SCREENING - MOBILE SYSTEMS



8. CURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS

8.1. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE - A MARKET IN RAPID TRANSITION

8.2. CURRENT INSTALLED BASE



9. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - MARKET OUTLOOK (2003-2010)

9.1. 2002-2010 ORDERS, NEW INSTALLATIONS, BACKLOG (BY UNITS)

9.2. 2002-2010 ORDERS, NEW INSTALLATIONS, BACKLOG (BY TECHNOLOGY)

9.3. INSTALLED BASE 2003-2010 (UNITS)

9.4. INSTALLED BASE 2003-2010 - BY TECHNOLOGY (UNITS AND $)

9.5. INSTALLED BASE BY PORTABILITY

9.6. 2003-2010 ORDER BOOKING FORECAST - ALTERNATE SCENARIO (INCREASED TERRORIST ACTIVITY)



10. PRODUCT/TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - 2003-2010

10.1. CONTAINER / VEHICLE SCREENING - MITIGATION STATUS

10.2. BASIC ASSUMPTIONS AND GUIDELINES

10.3. EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES - OVERVIEW

10.4. BULK SCREENING - EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES

10.5. COMPARISON OF NEXT GENERATION CONTAINER / VEHICLE SCREENING INFRASTRUCTURE

10.6. FUSED TECHNOLOGIES



11. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - PRICING OUTLOOK 2003-2010

11.1. PRICE FORECAST

11.2. CONTAINER SCREENING - 2003-2010 PRICING OUTLOOK



12. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

12.1. OVERVIEW

12.2. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS - ASSUMPTIONS

12.3. FIXED SYSTEMS - SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

12.4. COST OF TRANSACTION ANALYSIS

12.5. COST OF MAINTENANCE

12.6. COST OF PERSONNEL



13. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - INFRASTRUCTURE BUSINESS

13.1. INFRASTRUCTURE OUTLAY



14. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - PERSONNEL CONSIDERATIONS

14.1. BACKGROUND - PERSONNEL

14.2. PERSONNEL OUTLAY - 2002-2010

14.3. PERSONNEL TRAINING \



15. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - VENDORS

15.1. CONTAINER SCREENING PRODUCTS - VENDOR CONTACT INFORMATION

15.2. CONTAINER SCREENING - VENDOR PROFILES



16. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - SERVICE BUSINESS



17. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - BUSINESS AND TECHNOLOGICAL OPPORTUNITIES

17.1. INTRODUCTION

17.2. ECONOMY NEUTRON ACTIVATION SYSTEM

17.3. ECONOMY MOBILE FUSED TECHNOLOGY SYSTEM

17.4. ECONOMY STATIONARY FUSED TECHNOLOGY SYSTEM

17.5. PREMIUM STATIONARY FUSED TECHNOLOGY SYSTEM

17.6. “POWER” TRACE COLLECTOR

17.7. THIRD PARTY SERVICE

17.8. PRESCREENING SYSTEMS



18. CONTAINER/VEHICLE SCREENING - PATENT REVIEW

18.1. SCOPE



List of Figures

Figure 1 - 2002-2010 Container Screening Transactions Capacity (Million of Transactions)

Figure 2 - Annual Outlay for Container Screening by Type of Expenditure

Figure 3 - 2002 - Container / Vehicle Threat Mitigation Status

Figure 4 - Present Container/Vehicle Screening Technologies

Figure 5 - X-Ray Container Screening - Principles of Operation

Figure 6 - Conventional X-Ray Screening In Context of Overall Technologies

Figure 7 - Conventional X-Ray Container Screening

Figure 8 - X-Ray Screening - Block Diagram

Figure 9 - Dual Energy X-Ray Screening In Context of Overall Technologies

Figure 10 - Dual Energy X-Ray

Figure 11 - Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-ray

Figure 12 - Dual View X-Ray Screening In Context of Overall Technologies

Figure 13 - Dual View X-Ray - Principles of Operation

Figure 14 - Backscatter X-Ray Screening In Context of Overall Technologies

Figure 15 - Backscatter X-Ray + Penetrating X-ray

Figure 16 - Gamma Imaging Container Screening Technologies

Figure 17 - Gamma Source Container/Vehicle Screening

Figure 18 - Gamma Ray Screening - Block Diagram

Figure 19 - LINAC X-Ray Container Screening Technologies

Figure 20 - LINAC X-Ray Container/Vehicle Screening

Figure 21 - Linac Screening System Block Diagram

Figure 22 - Dual View Linac Container/ Vehicle Imaging System

Figure 23 - Neutron Activation Imaging Container Screening Technologies

Figure 24 - Pulsed Fast Neutron Activation Container/Vehicle Screening

Figure 25 - Pulsed Fast Neutron Activation Container/Vehicle Screening System Block Diagram

Figure 26 - A Typical Fixed Site Container Screening Checkpoint

Figure 27 - A Typical Relocatable Site - Container Screening Checkpoint

Figure 28 - A Typical Mobile Screening System

Figure 29 - Annual Orders: 1995-2001 period Compared to 2002 (in units and $M)

Figure 30 - Average Annual $ Value of Orders (By Portability): 1995-2001 Period Compared With 2002

Figure 31 - Average Annual Orders by Technology: 1995-2001 Period Compared To 2002 By $M

Figure 32 - Mobile Systems Ordered Per Year: Technology Market Share by units: 1995-2001 Period Compared With 2002

Figure 33 - Average Annual Ordered Relocatable Systems By Technology: 1995- 2001 Period Compared With 2002 by units

Figure 34 - Average Annual Fixed Systems Ordered: (By Technology) - 1996 - 2001 Period Compared With 2002

Figure 35 - Installed Base (by Technology, Units and $M) - By 1/1/2002

Figure 36 - Installed (by Technology, Units and $M) - By 1/1/2003

Figure 37 - 2002-2010 Unit Orders Of Container Screening Systems

Figure 38 - Ratio of New Orders, Installations and Backlogs per Annum

Figure 39 - 2002, 2005, 2010 Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog (by $M)

Figure 40 - 2002-2010 Gamma Ray Technology Annual Orders, Installations,

End-of-Year Backlog (By Units)

Figure 41 - 2002, 2005, 2010 Gamma Ray Technology - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 42 - 2002-2010 Total Gamma Orders, New Installations, Backlog (by $M)

Figure 43 - 2002-2010 Linac Orders, New Installations, Backlog (by units)

Figure 44 - 2002, 2005, 2010 Linac Technology - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 45 - 2002-2010 Linac Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Figure 46 - 2002-2010 Fused Technologies Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by units)

Figure 47 - 2005, 2010 Fused Technology - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 48 - 2002-2010 Fused Technologies Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $)

Figure 49 - Mobile Systems 2002-2010 Total Orders

Figure 50 - Mobile Systems 2002, 2005, 2010 Total Orders - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 51 - 2002-2010 Mobile Systems - Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Figure 52 - Relocatable Systems 2002-2010 Annual Orders (by Units)

Figure 53 - Relocatable Systems 2002, 2005, 2010 Annual Orders - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 54 - Relocatable Systems 2002-2010 Annual Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Figure 55 - Fixed Systems 2002-2010 Annual Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by Units)

Figure 56 - 2002, 2005, 2010 Fixed Systems Total Orders - Ratio of Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog

Figure 57 - 2002-2010 Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Figure 58 - Installed Base - 2002, 2005, 2010 - By Portability [By Units %]

Figure 59 - Installed Base - 2002, 2005, 2010 - By Portability [By $M %]

Figure 60 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of Gamma Technology Container Screening (By Units)

Figure 61 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of Gamma Technology Container Screening (By $M)

Figure 62 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of X-ray Technology Container Screening (by Units)

Figure 63 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of X-ray Technology Container Screening (By $M)

Figure 64 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of Linac Technology Container Screening (by Units)

Figure 65 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of Linac Technology Container Screening (By $M)

Figure 66 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of PFNA Technology Container Screening (by Units)

Figure 67 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of PFNA Technology Container Screening (by $M)

Figure 68 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Economy Fused Stationary Technology Container

Screening (by Units)

Figure 69 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Economy Fused Stationary Technology Container Screening (by $M)

Figure 70 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Premium Fused Stationary Technology Container Screening (by Units)

Figure 71 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Premium Fused Stationary Technology Container Screening (by $M)

Figure 72 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Fused Mobile Technology Container Screening (by Units)

Figure 73 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Fused Mobile Technology Container Screening (by $M)

Figure 74 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of Mobile Container Screening Systems (by Units)

Figure 75 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of Mobile Container Screening Systems (by $M)

Figure 76 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of Relocatable Container Screening Systems (by Units)

Figure 77 - 2002-2010 Installed Base of Relocatable Container Screening Systems (by $M)

Figure 78 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Fixed Container Screening Sites (by Units)

Figure 79 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Fixed Container Screening Sites (by $M)

Figure 80 - Scenario II: Annual Orders Unit (By Technology)

Figure 81 - Scenario II: Annual Orders [$] (By Technology)

Figure 82 - Scenario I Outlay Forecast for Single and Fused Technologies ($M)

Figure 83 - Scenario II Outlay Forecast for Single and Fused Technologies ($M)

Figure 84 - Container / vehicle Screening Mitigation Status - 2010

Figure 85 - Influencing Elements on 2003-2010 Technology Evolution Forecast

Figure 86 - Alternative Technologies For A Fused Technologies Container Screening Systems

Figure 87 - Classic Coherent X-ray For Container Screening

Figure 88 - Nuclear Radiation Container/Vehicle Screening Portal

Figure 89 - Powered Trace detection Portal

Figure 90 - "One-Stop-Shop" Fused Technologies Stationary Screening System

Figure 91 - Staggered Modalities Architecture .

Figure 92 - Dual Technology Systems

Figure 93 - Mobile Fused Technologies Screening System

Figure 94 - Stationary Fused Technologies Screening System

Figure 95 - A "Smart" Container

Figure 96 - Seaport Container Tracking Systems

Figure 97 - Container Remote Tele-Screening

Figure 98 - Infrastructure Outlay By Year By Mobility

Figure 99 - The Cost of Screening Personnel (By Portability)

Figure 100 - Service Outlay By Portability



List of Tables

Table 1 - 2002-2010 Container Screening - Worldwide Outlay Forecast

Table 2 - Container Screening - Technologies Comparison

Table 3 - Fixed Screening Systems - Advantages and Disadvantages

Table 4 - Average Annual Orders Comparison: 1995-2001 Compared With 2002 (by Units and $M)

Table 5 - Annual Average Orders by Portability:( Units and $M per year) 1995 - 2001 Period Compared With 2002

Table 6 - Average Annual Orders By Technology (Units and $M): 1995-2001 Period Compared With 2002

Table 7 - Average Annual Orders Mobile Systems (by Units And $M): By Technology - 1995-2001 Period Compared With 2002

Table 8 - Ordered Relocatable Units And $M Per Year: Changes (By Technology) - 1995 2001 Period Compared with 2002

Table 9 - Average Annual Fixed Systems Ordered In Units And $M: Changes (By Technology) - 1996-2001 Period Compared With 2002

Table 10 - Container Screening Systems Installed Base: (by Technology - 1.1.2002)

Table 11 - Container Screening Systems Installed Base: (by Technology - 1.1.2003)

Table 12 - 2002-2010 Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog (by units)

Table 13 - 2002-2010 Annual Orders, Installations, End of Year Backlog (by $M)

Table 14 - 2002-2010 Gamma Ray Technology Annual Orders, Installations, End-of-Year Backlog (By Units)

Table 15 - 2002-2010 Total Gamma Orders, New Installations, Backlog (by $M)

Table 16 - 2002-2010 Linac Orders, New Installations, Backlog (by units)

Table 17 - 2002-2010 Linac Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Table 18 - 2002-2010 Fused Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by units)

Table 19 - 2002-2010 Fused Technologies Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Table 20 - Mobile Systems 2002-2010 Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by units)

Table 21 - 2002-2010 Mobile Systems - Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Table 22 - Relocatable Systems 2002-2010 Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by Units)

Table 23 - Relocatable Systems 2002-2010 Annual Relocatable Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Table 24 - Fixed Systems 2002-2010 Annual Orders (by Units)

Table 25 - Fixed Systems 2002-2010 Total Orders / New Installations / Backlog (by $M)

Table 26 - Installed Base 2002-2010 By Portability [By Units]

Table 27 - Installed Base 2002-2010 By Portability [By $M]

Table 28 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of Gamma Container Screening (by Units and $M)

Table 29 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of X-RAY Container Screening (By units and $M)

Table 30 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of LINAC X-RAY Container Screening (By units and $M)

Table 31 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Of PFNA Container Screening Systems (By units and $M)

Table 32 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Economy Fused Stationary Container Screening Systems (By units and $M)

Table 33 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Premium Fused Stationary Container Screening Systems (By units and $M)

Table 34 - Installed Base - 2002-2010 Fused Mobile Container Screening Systems (By units and $M)

Table 35 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Mobile Systems (By Units and $)

Table 36 - 2002-2010 Installed Base Relocatable Systems (By Units and $)

Table 37 - 2002-2010 Fixed System Installed Base

Table 38 - Scenario II: 2002-2010 Ordered Units (By Technology)

Table 39 - Scenario II: 2002-2010 Percentage of Ordered Units (By Technology)

Table 40 - Scenario II: 2002-2010 Orders [$M] (By Technology)

Table 41 - Scenario II: 2002-2010 Percentage Of Orders Outlay (By Technology)

Table 42 - Container / Vehicle Maritime Screening Market - Evolving Requirements

Table 43 - Standalone and Integrated Technologies Comparison

Table 44 - Price/Performance Comparison 2003-2010 (Standard and Premium Systems)

Table 45 - Summary of System Economic Analysis - Class A Facility

Table 46 - Summary of System Economic Analysis - Class B Facility

Table 47 - Summary of System Economic Analysis - Class C Facility

Table 48 - Cost of Transaction by Technology and by Annual Caseload

Table 49 - Infrastructure Outlay by Portability

Table 50 - Screening Personnel Average Hourly Wages 2002 US and Europe

Table 51 - Personnel Outlay 2002-2010 [$M] By Container Screening System (By Portability)

Table 52 - Service Outlay By Portability

Abstract

Containers are likely to become the terrorists' delivery platform of choice. Learn how to maximize your screening ability while avoiding the bottlenecks and enormous cost associated with this sector. The report analyzes the industry's drivers and inhibitors, demand and supply, installed base, and sales figures. It presents a detailed product/technology and pricing outlook, examines personnel considerations, infrastructure, analyzes cost-performance, cost of transaction and maintenance, and forecasts business and technology opportunities.

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