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Morning Goods

Published by: Mintel International Group Ltd.

Published: Mar. 1, 2003 - 75 Pages


Table of Contents


Introduction and Abbreviations

Definition

Consumer research

Abbreviations

Executive Summary

What are morning goods?

Morning goods and breakfast

Drivers of growth

Demographics and children affect purchasing

Growth aspects of the morning goods market

Future growth needs innovation

Market Drivers

Quick breakfast opportunities

Breakfast avoiders

Figure 1: Trends and projections in the age structure of the UK population, 1997-2006 (proj)

Snacking reduces the number of cooked meals taken

Continental and American derived lines are growing the market

Children's foods and eating habits

Figure 2: Habits in respect of children's weekday lunches in term-time, August 2002

The workplace lunch

Figure 3: UK workforce in employment, by gender, 1997-2006

Changes in PDI

Figure 4: PDI and consumer expenditure, 1997-2006

Shift towards smaller households

Figure 5: UK household size and one-person households, 1997-2006

Healthy eating issues

Market Size and Trends

Figure 6: UK retail value sales of morning goods, 1997-2002

Figure 7: UK retail sales of morning goods from plant, ISB and craft, 2000 and 2002

Organic morning goods

Market Segmentation

Figure 8: UK retail sales of morning goods, by type and value, 2000 and 2002

Rolls

Figure 9: Household consumption of rolls, by volume and per capita, 1997-2002

Figure 10: UK retail value sales of rolls, by type, 2000 and 2002

Bakery snacks

Figure 11: UK retail value sales of bakery snacks, by type, 2000 and 2002

Figure 12: UK retail sales in the fruited sector, by value, 2000 and 2002

The Supply Structure

Industry structure

Allied Bakeries Ltd

British Bakeries

Warburtons

New York Bagel Company

Others

New Product Briefs

Mar-03

Feb-03

Jan-03

Dec-02

Nov-02

Oct-02

Oct-02

Sep-02

Aug-02

Jul-02

Jun-02

May-02

Apr-02

Advertising and Promotion

Figure 13: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on bread and morning goods,
1997-2002

Figure 14: Main monitored media advertising expenditure on bread and morning goods, by
advertiser, 1999-2002

Below-the-line promotions

Figure 15: Selected below-the-line promotions on rolls and morning goods, Summer 2002

Additional marketing initiatives

Distribution

Figure 16: UK retail value sales of morning goods, by type of outlet, 2000 and 2002

The Consumer

Figure 17: Types of bakery products bought in the last three months, 1997-2002

Figure 18: Most popular types of morning goods purchased, by demographic sub-group,
Oct-02

Figure 19: Buns, English and American muffins and pancakes, Danish pastries and bagels

purchased, by demographic sub-group, October 2002

Figure 20: Cross-analysis of purchasing behaviour, by selected type of morning goods, 2002

General comments on morning goods

The Future

Changing consumer lifestyles

Consumption outside the home

Price polarisation

Demographic influences

Exploiting UK's regional diversity

Niche potential

Forecast

Figure 21: Forecast of the morning goods market, 2002-07

Polarisation will continue

Factors used in the forecast

Appendix: Research methodology

Index of reports

Abstract

This report examines the UK market for morning goods between 1997 and 2002. Mintel last covered the morning goods market in Market Intelligence, March 2001.

Within the morning goods sector, bakery snacks are the main growth area. The variety of bakery snacks available reflects and influences current consumer tastes and sophistication. As a result, there has generally been an increase in the level of consumption of most products since the last Mintel report on this subject.

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