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Markets & Technologies for Switchable Ferroelectric, Electrochromic & Optical Materials

Published by: BCC Research

Published: Apr. 1, 2002 - 194 Pages


Table of Contents


Title

Introduction


Objective And Purpose Of This Report


Reasons For This Study


Contribution Of The Study


Scope And Format


Methodology And Sources Of Information


Analyst’s Credentials


Related Bcc Publications


Reports


Monthly Newsletter


Bcc On-Line Services

Summary

Technology Overview


Introduction


Comparison With Smart Materials


Ferroelectrics


A Brief History Of The Ferroelectric Effect


How Do Ferroelectrics Work?


The Ease Of Reading/Writing To A Ferroelectric Bit


Size Of The Capacitor


Number Of Cycles


Chromogenic Materials


Strong Color Changes


Low Energy Reaction


Fast Kinetics


Coupling To An Electrical Field


Stability


Temperature Sensitivity


Processability


Comparing Chromogenics With Photochromics And Lcds.


Liquid Crystals And Suspended Particle Devices


A Brief History Of Suspended Particle Devices


Control Of Suspended Particle Devices


Electrochromics


Organic Electrochromics


Inorganic Electrochromics


Optical Switching Materials


Demands Of The Telecommunications Industry


Why Use Light?


Control


Interaction


Storage


Mediums


Speed And Information Density


The Amplification Issue


The Optical-Electronic-Optical Transformations


First Generation Switches


Second Generation Switches


Third Generation Switches


Technologies


Mems Technology


Liquid Crystals


Integrated Optical Silicon Technology


Polymer Technology

Industry Structure


The Patent Problem In Switchable Materials


Funding For Switchable Materials


Ferroelectric Switchable Materials


A Brief History Of The Fram Chip Development


The Major Players


The Smaller Players


Types Of Fram Chips


Rumors


Requirements For Fram Research


Outsourcing Of Fram Production


Raw Materials


Purchasers Of Fram Chips


Chromogenic Materials


Firms Producing Organic Electrochromics


Firms Producing Inorganic Electrochromics


Architectural Applications


Printing/Display Applications


Firms Producing Suspended Particle Devices


Licensing Costs


Aerospace Applications


Other Applications


Optical Switching Materials


The Telecommunications Industry


Roots Of The Industry


The Optical Switching Industry


Firms Developing Optical Switches Based On Switchable Materials


Optical Switching Technologies


Raw Materials


Production Technology


The Mems Industry


Mems Fabric Manufacturers


Mems Optical Switch Manufacturers


Other Switch Technologies Based On Switchable Materials


Purchasers Of This Technology


Bottlenecks In The Telecommunications Industry


The Testing Issue


Software


Company Profiles


Ampy Automation Digilog Limited


Analog Devices


Calient Networks


Confluent Photonics Corporation


Donnelly Corporation


Gentex Corporation


Inspectech Aero Service, Inc.


Lucent Technology


Pilkington Plc


Ramtron International Corporation


Research Frontiers, Inc


Telephotonics, Inc.

Products


Ferroelectrics


Comparison Of Ferroelectric Chips To Conventional Chips


Overview Of Chip Applications


A Brief History Of Fram Chip Production


Comparison Of Pzt And Sbt Fram Chips


Short Term Applications Of Fram Chips


Battery Backed Static Random Access Memory (Bbsram)


Electrically Erasable Programmable Read Only Memory (Eeprom)


Limited Number Of Cycles


Latency


Asymmetric Read/Write Times


Market Forces In Eeprom


Fram Chips


Technology Developments In Fram Chips


Decreased Voltage


Improved Pzt


Improvements In The Top And Bottom Capacitor Layers


Pricing Of Fram To Eeprom


Current Performance Enhancements


Current And Near Future Trends For Fram Chips


Pricing


Markets For Low Density Non-Volatile Memory


What Will Happen To The Market For Fram Chips Now?


Long Term Applications Of Fram Chips


Trends In Flash Memory


Current Disadvantages Of Flash Memory


Limited Scalability


Chromogenic Materials


A Brief History Of Light Control Materials


Comparing Chromogenic And Photochromic Technology


Control


Energy Costs


Transmission Change


Longevity


Response Time


Temperature Sensitivity


Cost


Chromogenic Technologies: Liquid Crystals, Suspended Particle Devices, And Electrochromics


Liquid Crystals


Suspended Particle Devices (Spd)


Pricing Of Suspended Particle Devices


Electrochromic Technologies


Organic Electrochromics By Type


Inorganic Electrochromics


New Technology Electrochromics


Comparing The Available Technologies


Cost Of Raw Materials


Production Costs


Substrates


Durability/Longevity


Transmission/Color Change


Types Of Control


Response Times


Markets For Chromogenic Materials


Automotive Applications


Architectural Applications


Aerospace Applications


Display Applications


Compatibility


Performance


Eyewear Applications


Prescription Eyewear


Sporting Goods Industry


General Industry


Summary Of Chromogenics By Type


Optical Switching Materials


Types Of Products


Comparison Between The Technologies


Applications


Potential For Low Cost Production


Optical Switches


Optical Switch Properties


Switch Size


Power Consumption


Installed Size


Losses


Speed


Increased Functionality


Scaleability


Robust Design


Reliability


Optical Switch Technologies


Mems Technologies


2d Mems Technology


3d Mems Technology


Comparison Of 2d And 3d Mems Technologies


Ports


Control Of Mirrors


Power Consumption


Beam Monitoring


Recovery From Power Failure


Sales Of 2d And 3d Mems Products


Liquid Crystal Technology


Polymer Technology


Integrated Silicon Optical Chips


Bubble Technology


Summary Of Markets For Optical Switches

Market Applications


Ferroelectric Materials


Near Term Markets


Industrial/Residential Controls


Global Trends In Power Metering


Trends In Meter Technology


New Trends In The Electrical Power Industry


Fram Usage In Meter Technology


Is It Logical To Use Fram Technology In An Electricity Meter?


Office Equipment


Automotive Markets


Longer Term Markets


Telecommunications


Personal Computers


Chromogenic Applications


Automotive Applications


The Patent Situation


Global Production Of Mirrors


Interior Mirror Applications


Trends In Automotive Interior Mirrors


Pricing Trends


Exterior Automotive Electrochromic Mirror Applications


Types Of Exterior Mirrors


Aerospace Applications


Why Use Switchable Glazings In Aircraft?


Economic Rationale


Cost Of The Window Treatment


Energy Costs


Air Conditioning Costs


Refurbishment Costs


Weight Reduction


Flammability


Controllability


Market Cachet


The Aviation Market


Architectural Applications


Why Would Chromogenic Windows Be Popular?


Residential And¾The Two Markets For Chromogenic Windows Commercial


Cost


Energy Savings


Longevity


Aesthetics


Privacy


Summary Of Markets For Chromogenic Materials


Optical Switching Materials


Trends In Telecommunications


Amount Of Traffic


Revenues


Spending On Installation Of Networks


Profitability


Costs


Comparing Voice And Data


Size Requirements


Development Time


Time Requirements


Reduced Long Haul Cable Expansion


Financial Trends


The Metro Boom


Increased Flexibility And Decreased Provisioning Time


Optical Switches In The Metro Region


Reliability


Increased Functionality


Scaleability


Adds Revenue


Reduced Cost


Comparing Oeo And Ooo Switches


Number Of Boxes


Well Proven Technology


Power Consumption


Scaleability


Granularity


Bit Rate Dependence


Markets For Optical Switches In Telecommunications


List Of Tables




Summary Table:

Worldwide Market Applications Of Switchable Materials, Through 2006


1 Comparison Of Smart Materials And Switchable Materials


2 Requirements For Useful Chromogenic Materials


3 Comparison Of Various Chromogenic Technologies


4 Comparison Of Light And Electricity For Information Transport


5 Three Generations Of All Optical Switching


6 Comparison Of Thermal And Voltage Control Of Polymer Technology


7 Developers Of Fram Chip Technology


8 Fram Production Agreements


9 Purchasers Of Fram Chips


10 Organic Electrochromic Producers


11 Firms Researching Inorganic Electrochromics


12 Research Frontiers, Inc. Research, Development And Production Chain


13 Firms In Telecommunications


14 Firms Producing Products For The Metro Optical Market


15 Firms Producing Switching Fabrics For Mems


16 Firms Producing Mems Based Optical Switches And Components


17 Firms Developing Polymer, Bubble, Liquid Crystal, And Silicon Technologies


18 Relative Costs To Produce Goods In Telecommunications


19 Comparison Of Volatile And Non-Volatile Memory


20 Comparison Of Non-Volatile Memory Technology


21 Historical Problems With Fram Chips


22 Comparison Between Pzt And Sbt Ferroelectric Chips


23 Current Sram Markets By Speed Of Chip, 2000


24 Comparison Between Eeprom And Flash


25 Drawbacks To Eeprom Chips


26 Technological Advances Affecting Fram Chips


27 Comparison Of 2t2c And 1t1c Memory Cell Architecture


28 Factors Affecting Market Acceptance Of Fram Chips


29 Worldwide Sales Of Low Bit Density, Non-Volatile Memory Chips Including Fram, Low Speed Bbsram, And Eeprom, Through 2006


30 Worldwide Market For Fram Chips By Type, Through 2006


31 Worldwide Market For Fram Chips By Type, Through 2006


32 Comparison Between Photochromic And Chromogenic Technology


33 Worldwide Market For Organic Electrochromic Materials By Type, Through 2006


34 Worldwide Market For Inorganic Electrochromic Materials By Type, Through 2006


35 Comparison Of Newer Chromogenic Technologies


36 Comparing Lcd And Suspended Particle Device Technology For Display Applications


37 Worldwide Markets For Chromogenic Materials By Type, Through 2006


38 Comparison Of Technologies In Optical Applications


39 Comparison Of Various Technologies Used For Optical Switches


40 Comparison Between 2d And 3d Mems Technology


41 Worldwide Sales Of Mems Based Optical Switches, Through 2006


42 Worldwide Unit Sales Of Mems Based Optical Switches, Through 2006


43 Comparison Of Nematic And Ferroelectric Liquid Crystals Used In Telecommunications Arrays


44 Worldwide Sales Of Liquid Crystal Based Optical Switches, Through 2006


45 Worldwide Unit Sales Of Liquid Crystal Based Optical Switches, Through 2006


46 A Comparison Between The Thin Film Silicon Technology And Thick Film Silicon Technology


47 Summary Of Worldwide Markets Of Optical Switches Based On Switchable Materials, Through 2006


48 Summary Of Worldwide Unit Sales Of Optical Switches Based On Switchable Materials, Through 2006


49 Comparison Of Solid State And Electromechanical Meters


50 Conversion Of Residential/Light Industrial Meter Applications From Electromechanical To Solid State In The Uk


51 Comparison Between Single Phase And Multi Phase Electric Meters


52 Comparison Between Chip Types In Whole Current Meter Applications


53 Global Meter Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


54 Global Meter Unit Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


55 Global Office Equipment Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


56 Global Office Equipment Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


57 U.S. Airbag Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


58 U.S. Airbag Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


59 Global Cellular Phone Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


60 Global Cellular Phone Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


61 U.S. Personal Computer Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


62 U.S. Personal Computer Market With Fram Chips, Through 2006


63 North American Market For Interior Mirrors, Through 2006


64 North American Market For Interior Mirrors, Through 2006


65 List Of Possible Applications Added To Interior Rear View Mirrors


66 North American Production Of Exterior Mirrors, Through 2006


67 North American Production Of Exterior Mirrors, Through 2006


68 Economic Comparison Between Switchable Glazings And Window Shades On Aircraft


69 Global Markets For Switchable Window Treatments In Aircraft, Through 2006


70 Markets For Switchable Window Treatments In Aircraft, Through 2006


71 Comparison Of Chromogenic Windows To Conventional Windows


72 Worldwide Market For Switchable Glazings In Architectural Applications, Through 2006


73 Worldwide Market For Switchable Glazings In Architectural Applications, Through 2006


74 Global Chromogenic Applications, Through 2006


75 Overall Trends In Telecommunications


76 Comparison Between Voice Traffic And Data Traffic In Telecommunications


77 Comparison Of Real Time And Best Effort Transmission


78 Long Term Trends In Fiber Optic Telecommunications


79 Demands Of Telecommunications Companies For Optical Switches Used In The Metro Market


80 Comparison Of Ooo And Oeo Switches


81 Market For Optical Switches, Through 2006


82 Existing Major Switch Sites, 2001


List Of Figures




Summary Figure:

Worldwide Market Applications Of Switchable Materials, 2001 And 2006


1 Worldwide Sales Of Low Bit Density, Non-Volatile Memory Chips Including Fram, Low Speed Bbsram, And Eeprom, 2001 And 2006


2 Worldwide Market For Organic Electrochromic Materials By Type, 2001 And 2006


3 Worldwide Markets For Chromogenic Materials By Type, 2001 And 2006


4 U.S. Airbag Market With Fram Chips, 2001 And 2006


5 North American Market For Interior Mirrors, 2001 And 2006


6 Worldwide Market For Switchable Glazings In Architectural Applications, 2001 And 2006


7 Global Chromogenic Applications, 2001 And 2006




























Abstract

While there have been a number of articles in the popular press telling of switchable materials and the markets for these goods, there has been little agreement as to how many of these goods are being produced, and how useful these materials really are. Like many modern materials, switchable materials will be produced in small volumes and often integrated into a finished product during the manufacturing process. However, the impact of switchable materials belies their small production quantities. Already, these goods have been able to dominate some markets with several hundred million dollars in sales. While switchable materials are expensive to develop, these goods also can offer revolutionary technology, which could replace existing technology in some major applications in electronics and telecommunications. This report takes a hardheaded look at three categories of switchable materials, ferroelectrics, chromogenics, and optical switching materials and describes their products and markets. The report covers applications for these materials ranging from automotive mirrors to personal computers and cell phones. Forecasts for the various markets discussed are provided through 2006.

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