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Drugs of Tomorrow 2002: Breast Cancer

Published by: Datamonitor

Published: Apr. 23, 2002 - 242 Pages


Table of Contents



EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Scope

Datamonitor insight into the breast cancer market

The innovative products are a high risk, but high return product category. With

the biotechnology sector fuelling the breast cancer innovative pipeline, the

level of clinical trial failure has promoted levels of industry and investor

skepticism surrounding product development. However, a product approval is

highly likely to ensure lucrative revenues.

The antisense compounds in development for breast cancer represent a highly

efficacious group of compounds combined with favorable side effect profiles.

However, the levels of industry skepticism surrounding the product class has the

potential to undermine their revenue potential.

AstraZeneca’s Faslodex (fulvestrant) represents the most important hormonal

therapy development, representing the introduction of a new mechanism of action

as a selective estrogen receptor down-regulator (SERD). The clinical results

surrounding the compound combined with the marketing power behind the drug is

likely to ensure strong revenue returns. However, with Arimidex and tamoxifen

within the same portfolio, Faslodex is likely to cannibalize their sales through

indication overlap.

Summary analysis

Key metrics

TABLE OF CONTENTS

DISEASE OVERVIEW

Definition of disease

Diagnosis

Treatment

Classification of disease

Patient population

Risk factors

Classification of pipeline products

Cytotoxics

Angiogenesis inhibitors

Immunotherapies

Gene therapies

Clinical endpoints in disease

Survival

Quality of Life

Toxicity

Cancer Response

Unmet needs in breast cancer

Metastatic disease

Tamoxifen resistant breast cancer

Side effects

Compliance

BREAST CANCER PIPELINE ANALYSIS

Key drug discovery strategies in breast cancer

Key R&D protocol strategies in breast disease

Key drug delivery strategies in disease

Key licensing strategies in disease

Pipeline analysis by class

Pipeline analysis by region

Pipeline analysis by company type

Pipeline analysis by individual company

DRUG ANALYSIS

Cytotoxics

Gemzar (gemcitabine)

Doxil (liposomal doxirubicin)

Tesmilifene (DPPE)

Hormonals

Evista (raloxifene)

Faslodex (fulvestrant)

Arzoxifene

Lasofoxifene (CP 336,156)

ERA-923

Innovative therapies

Theratope (sTn-KLH)

Genasense (augmerosen/G3139)

Almita (pemetrexed disodium/LY231514)

Avastin (bevacizumab/anti-VEGF)

Table 32 displays the primary response rates to Avastin in colorectal cancer

Arcitumomab/CEA-SCAN

Targretin (bexarotene)

Onconase (ranpirnase)

Apomine (SR-45023A/ farnesoid X receptor agonist)

Tarceva (erlotinib/OSI-774; formerly CP-358,774)

SGN-15

ET-743

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

Comparison by class

Comparative analysis of the individual drug classes

Administration

Compliance

Marketing power

Efficacy

Side-effects

Patient populations

Comparative analysis of cytotoxics

Comparative analysis of hormonals

Comparative analysis of the innovative therapies

FUTURE FOCUS

Methodology

Market drivers in breast cancer

Patent expiries

New hormonal therapy launches

Price cuts in Japan

Factors affecting individual classes, 2002-2010

Future trends in the incidence of Breast cancer

Prospective drug launches in Breast cancer

Launch forecast methodology

Forecast launches in Breast cancer from 2002 to 2010

Cytotoxic product forecasts

Hormonal product forecasts

Innovative product forecasts

Summary of the key R&D product forecasts

Forecast market expansion within breast cancer

APPENDIX

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES

REFERENCES

Additional information

Datamonitor's Oncology Business Unit

© Datamonitor 2002. All Rights Reserved.



Abstract

Science is becoming better able to target the right genetic and biomolecular pathways with the right tools. More effective delivery modalities are being elucidated and scientists are experiencing success in a higher proportion of cases. Datamonitor’s report, Drugs Of Tomorrow 2002: Breast Cancer, presents an in-depth analysis into the pipeline products likely to drive the breast cancer market in the future, with an emphasis on the biotechnology emergence which is supplying the innovative drive. This Analysis predicts how: * Existing unmet needs will be satisfied by incremental improvements in pharmacotherapeutic regimens, brought about by the biotechnology emergence * Dramatically increased response rates will be achieved with co-therapies, acting synergistically with existing cytotoxic and hormonal protocols * Value sales will be sustained within the breast cancer market. From these analyses, breast cancer-specific forecasts are presented from 2002 to 2010.

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