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Published by: Datamonitor
Published: Oct. 1, 2001 - 182 Pages
Table of Contents CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction
The prepared foods market
Market segments
Market size
Distribution channels
Drivers and trends
Customer focus
Channel preferences
Product preferences
Product development & marketing opportunities
Keeping top categories strong
The future decoded
Action points
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
What is this report about?
Who is the target reader?
How to use this report
CHAPTER 2 THE PREPARED FOODS MARKET
Introduction
Key findings
Market segments
Market size
Market leaders and market losers
Market winners - category highlights
Market losers - category analysis
Distribution channels
Rise of the in-store deli
Channel confusion - drug store or convenience store?
Sizing up the mass merchandiser
From “dine-out” to “eat-in”
Drivers and trends
Convenience: changing lifestyles
Demographics: changing needs
External Forces: supply-side changes
Industry push: stimulating demand
Conclusions
CHAPTER 3 CUSTOMER FOCUS
Introduction
Key findings
Channel preferences
Product Preferences
CHAPTER 4 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT & MARKETING
OPPORTUNITIES
Introduction
Key findings
Product development: keeping top categories strong
Marketing opportunities: using a channel specific approach
CHAPTER 5 THE FUTURE DECODED
Introduction
Key findings
Sales of “fresh-cut” produce items, including ready-made salads, will reach $21.2
billion by 2005, making it the fastest growing prepared food category
Sales of functional prepared food products will reach $35.6 billion by 2005.
Generation Y will command over $192 billion in consumer spending power by 2005.
Americans will continue moving towards “Atkin’s-style” protein rich diets
The market for prepared foods will reach $32.4 billion in 2005
“Fast casual” restaurant growth will continue to outpace “fast food” restaurant
growth by 2 to 8 percent, totaling $48.6 billion in 2005
CHAPTER 6 ACTION POINTS
Introduction
Key findings
New product development among market share/dollar sales “losers” must stress
convenience, changing diets and functionality
To gain market share among aging boomers, manufacturers must develop
“homestyle” products, across categories, fortified to meet consumers’ specific
needs
Targeting Generation Y will hinge on convenience and the “hip factor”
Supermarket retailers can target high income Americans by offering gourmet meal
component prepared items, available through upscale in-store delis
Manufacturers and retailers must pursue partnerships with “fast casual”
restauranteurs to make additional “fast casual” fusion favorites available through
grocery and retail outlets.
CHAPTER 7 APPENDIX
Supplementary data
Research methodology
Datamonitor quantitative research methodology
Consumer survey methodology
SPP writing team
How to contact experts in your industry
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Top five gainers and losers - market share (%), 1998-2000
Table 2: Top five gainers and losers - dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Table 3: Prepared food by distribution channel (%), 1998-2000
Table 4: In-store deli sales by product percentage, 1998
Table 5: Top five categories - food store vs. mass merchandiser, 1998-2000
Table 6: Savory snack sales versus retail food store sales (US$bn), 1995-2000
Table 7: US economic overview, 2000-2001
Table 8: New product introduction for selected categories, 1998-2000
Table 9: Top five gainers and losers - market share (%), 1998-2000
Table 10: Top five gainers and losers - dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Table 11: Market share among top ten frozen pizza brands, 2000
Table 12: Reduced/low calorie & reduced/low fat new product introductions,
1995-1999
Table 13: US wheat and rice per capita consumption trends, 1972-1996
Table 14: Rice goes global
Table 15: US beverage sales trends, 1998-2000
Table 16: Prepared food by distribution channel (%), 1998-2000
Table 17: In-store deli sales by product percentage, 1998
Table 18: Gourmet growth (US$m), 2000-2005
Table 19: Top five categories - food store vs. mass merchandiser, 1998-2000
Table 20: Concept diversity among fast casual market leaders
Table 21: Revenue growth among top three fast casual chains (US$m), 1995-2000
Table 22: Revenue growth among top three fast food chains (US$m), 1995-2000
Table 23: Average length of working week, 1999
Table 24: Average household size (no. of people), 1995-1999
Table 25: Women’s share of the labor force in the US (%), 1995-99
Table 26: Savory snack sales versus retail food store sales (US$bn), 1995-2000
Table 27: US economic overview, 2000-2001
Table 28: New product introduction for selected categories, 1998-2000
Table 29: Median income levels, by age range, 2000
Table 30: Consumer prepared food preferences, by channel and geography
Table 31: Geographical distribution of top three warehouse/club retailers, FY
2000
Table 32: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type and geography
Table 33: Attribute importance among consumers in purchasing prepared food,
by total population
Table 34: Attribute importance among consumers in purchasing prepared food,
by gender
Table 35: Attribute importance among consumers in purchasing prepared food,
by gender
Table 36: Median income by geography, 2000 (US$)
Table 37: Organic market values (US$bn), 1995-2000
Table 38: Organic soup manufacturers and product lines
Table 39: Rising crust pizza product introductions, 1996-2000
Table 40: Tomato, chili pepper and garlic per capita consumption trends (lbs),
1972-1996
Table 41: Market share, frozen vs. chilled (%), 1998-2000
Table 42: Frozen food launches lauding “freshness”
Table 43: Results of Unilever’s studies on vitamin C retention of fresh, chilled
and frozen vegetables
Table 44: Market share among top ten frozen pizza brands, 2000
Table 45: Fresh-cut produce sales (US$bn), 2001-2005
Table 46: Nutraceuticals market value by category (US$m),1996-2006
Table 47: Generation Y consumer spending power (US$bn), 2000-2005
Table 48: Baby boomer consumer spending power (US$bn), 2000-2005
Table 49: Per capita meat and dairy consumption (lbs), 1980-1999
Table 50: Year-on-year growth, meat snack sales
Table 51: Top five losers - dollar sales, 1998-2000
Table 52: Prepared foods market (US$bn), 2001-2005
Table 53: Prepared foods market by category (US$bn), 1998-2000
Table 54: Prepared food market by category (%), 1998-2000, 2005
Table 55: Fast casual vs. fast food growth (US$bn), 2001-2005
Table 56: Top five losers - market share (%), 1998-2000
Table 57: Top five losers - dollar sales (US$), 1998-2000
Table 58: Savory snack sales versus retail food store sales (US$bn), 1995-2000
Table 59: “Homestyle” product selections
Table 60: Prevalence of various old age diseases (000’s), 2000-2005
Table 61: Nutraceuticals market value by category (%),1996-2006
Table 62: Hors d’oeurves and snacks sales growth (US$m), 1998-2000
Table 63: Concept diversity among fast casual growth leaders
Table 64: Index of supermarket shoppers
Table 65: Index of restaurant patrons
Table 66: Index of deli counter customers
Table 67: Index of warehouse/club shoppers
Table 68: Index of convenience store shoppers
Table 69: Index of specialty/gourmet shop shopper
Table 70: Index of drugstore shopper
Table 71: Index of meat-based prepared food shoppers
Table 72: Index of vegetable-based prepared food shoppers
Table 73: Index of grain-based prepared food shoppers
Table 74: Index of dairy -based prepared food shoppers
Table 75: Index of combination prepared food shoppers
Table 76: Index of entrée shoppers
Table 77: Index of vegetable side dish prepared food shoppers
Table 78: Index of grain side dish prepared food shoppers
Table 79: Index of complete meal prepared food shoppers
Table 80: Index of sauce or seasoning prepared food shoppers
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: The prepared food market by category, 1998-2000
Figure 2: Prepared food market in the US, 1998-2000
Figure 3: Top five gainers and losers - market share, 1998-2000
Figure 4: Top five gainers - dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 5: Drugstore sales of prepared food (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 6: Mass merchandiser - dollar sales (US$m) vs. prepared food market
share (%), 1998-2000
Figure 7: “Fast casual” dining sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 8: Prepared food market drivers
Figure 9: Proportion of US population aged 50 and over as a percentage of total
population , 1995-2030
Figure 10: Ethnic diversity among US school age children, grades 1-12
Figure 11: Prepared food top five by dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 12: The prepared food market by category, 1998-2000
Figure 13: Prepared food market in the US (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 14: Prepared food top five by dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 15: Top five gainers and losers - market share (%), 1998-2000
Figure 16: Top five gainers - dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 17: “Fresh-cut” produce sales (US$bn), 2000-2005
Figure 18: Prepackaged, ready-made salads from market leader Dole
Figure 19: Per capita poultry and red meat consumption (lbs), 1975-1997
Figure 20: Red meat and poultry production trends, 1995-2000
Figure 21: Chicken-based frozen entree launches in the US
Figure 22: Frozen pizza market by manufacturer market share (%), 2000
Figure 23: US population distribution, 1995, 2000 and 2005
Figure 24: Frozen cookie and brownie products target teens and tweens
Figure 25: US soup market, 1999
Figure 26: US wheat and rice per capita consumption trends, 1972-1996
Figure 27: US beverage sales trends, 1998-2000
Figure 28: Powdered soft drink NPD focuses on national trends
Figure 29: Touting the supermarket in-store deli
Figure 30: Drugstore sales of prepared food (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 31: Mass merchandiser - dollar sales vs. prepared food market share,
1998-2000
Figure 32: Restaurant industry at-a-glance, 2000 and 2010
Figure 33: “Fast casual” dining sales (US$bn), 1998-2000
Figure 34: Revenue growth among top three fast casual chains (US$m), 1995-2000
Figure 35: Revenue growth among top three fast food chains (US$m), 1995-2000
Figure 36: “Fast casual” favorites have entered supermarket aisles
Figure 37: Prepared food market drivers
Figure 38: Uncle Ben’s: “sizing” the rice bowl market
Figure 39: Proportion of US population aged 50 and over (%), 1995-2030
Figure 40: Ethnic diversity among school age children, grades 1-12
Figure 41: US population distribution, 1995, 2000 and 2005
Figure 42: Consumer prepared food preferences, by channel
Figure 43: Percentage of respondents frequenting the deli counter for prepared
food items, by age group
Figure 44: Percentage of respondents frequenting the deli counter for prepared
food items, by income level
Figure 45: Percentage of respondents frequenting convenience stores for
prepared food items, by income level
Figure 46: Percentage of respondents frequenting the supermarket for prepared
food items, by age group
Figure 47: Percentage of respondents frequenting convenience stores for
prepared food items, by age group
Figure 48: Percentage of respondents frequenting specialty/gourmet shops for
prepared food items, by income level
Figure 49: Percentage of respondents frequenting specialty/gourmet shops for
prepared food items, by age group
Figure 50: Consumer prepared food preferences, by food type
Figure 51: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type
Figure 52: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type and income
level
Figure 53: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type and age group
Figure 54: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type and gender
Figure 55: Baby Boomers are looking for quality, health and homemade taste
Figure 56: Consumers under 25 indicate freshness is not key in making a product
taste delicious (% rate “extremely important”)
Figure 57: Consumers under 25 indicate freshness is not key in making a product
taste delicious (% rate “extremely important”)
Figure 58: Prepared food top five by dollar sales (US$m), 1998-2000
Figure 59: Campbell’s goes for classic convenience
Figure 60: “Hearty” soups selections from Campbell’s, Wolfgang Puck and
Progresso
Figure 61: Consumer perceptions of soup as a meal
Figure 62: Walnut Acres lines of certified organic soups
Figure 63: Product innovation in the frozen pizza market
Figure 64: Gourmet frozen pizza selections froms Wolfgang Puck
Figure 65: Crum Creek Mill’s soy pasta mirrors move away from carbohydrates
Figure 66: Upscale frozen dinner selections from Michelina’s and Stouffer’s Lean
Cuisine
Figure 67: “Fresh-cut” produce sales (US$bn), 2000-2005
Figure 68: Nutraceutical market drivers
Figure 69: Growth of the meat snack industry in the US (US$m), 1996-2000
Figure 70: Consumer prepared food preferences by product type
Figure 71: Baby Boomers are looking for quality, health and homemade taste (%
rate “extremely important”)
Figure 72: Fortified product launches in the US - focus on the bakery/cereal,
dairy and soft drinks categories
Figure 73: Percentage of respondents frequenting convenience stores for
prepared food items by age group
Figure 74: Percentage of respondents frequenting specialty/gourmet shops and
deli counters for prepared food items, by income
Figure 75: Consumer prepared food preferences, by product type and income
Figure 76: Three fastest growing “fast casual” companies CAGR vs. industry
CAGR, 1998-2000
Figure 77: Supermarket shoppers profile
Figure 78: Restaurant patron profile
Figure 79: Deli counter customer profile
Figure 80: Warehouse/club shopper profile
Figure 81: Convenience store shopper profile
Figure 82: Specialty/gourmet shop shopper
Figure 83: Drugstore shopper profile
Figure 84: Meat-based prepared food shopper profile
Figure 85: Vegetable-based prepared food shopper profile
Figure 86: Grain-based prepared food shopper profile
Figure 87: Dairy -based prepared food shopper profile
Figure 88: Combination prepared food shopper profile
Figure 89: Entrée shopper profile
Figure 90: Vegetable side dish prepared food shopper profile
Figure 91: Grain side dish prepared food shopper profile
Figure 92: Complete meal prepared food shopper profile
Figure 93: Sauce or seasoning aid prepared food shopper profile
Figure 94: Datamonitor’s research methodology
AbstractThis report focuses on prepared food products in the following categories: bakery and pasta; beverages; ethnic; general ready meals; pizza; sauces and seasonings; snacks and appetizers; soup; vegetables. The aim of this report is to provide a discussion of the industry's "winners" and "losers" in terms of market share and dollar sales from 1998 through 2000 as a method for identifying emerging trends and strategies for growth in an otherwise stagnant market. The results of Datamonitor's national consumer survey on prepared food preferences and habits have been analyzed in line with industry sales data and growth projections to identify opportunities for channel specific marketing and product specific development.
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