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Market Forecast Report: Retail, 2001

Published by: Jupiter Research Corporation

Published: Jan. 11, 2002 - 38 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary

Market Drivers

Segment Forecast

Forecast Implications

Report Methodology

Appendix: Category Forecasts

Table of Figures

1 US Online Retail Sales, 1999-2006

3 Online Population Forecast, 1999-2006

4 Online Shopping Penetration, 1999-2006

5 Online Shopping Population by Age, 2000-2006

6 Online Shopping Population by Income, 2000-2006

8 Forecast for US Sales of Books, Music, and Videos, 1999-2006

9 Forecast for US Sales of Apparel, Footwear, and Jewelry, 1999-2006

10 Forecast for US Sales of Computers, Computer Accessories, and
Software, 1999-2006

12 Forecast for US Sales of Groceries and Pet Supplies, 1999-2006

13 Forecast for US Sales of Consumer Electronics, 1999-2006

14 Forecast for US Sales of Home and Garden Items, 1999-2006

16 The Effect of Internet Commerce on Product Categories

19 US Online Population, 1999-2006

20 US Online Buying Population, 1999-2006

21 US Online Population by Shopping Behavior, 1999-2006

23 US Online Spending per Buyer, 1999-2006

26 Online Buyer Scorecard

28 Online Wallet Share Scorecard

31 Online Sales by Category, 1999-2006

32 Percentage of Total Market Online, 1999-2006

Abstract

While the online retail channel’s fastest growth is behind it, the years ahead promise a five-year combined annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28 percent—expansion that would satisfy any traditional retailer. This pales in comparison to the triple-digit growth rates seen between 1995 and 2001, but was to be expected: As a market grows, it encounters increasing difficulty in maintaining historical growth rates. What is surprising is the rapidity at which growth has slowed. In 2000, sales grew by 95 percent from the previous year.

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