TD-LTE Forecast Summary: Infrastructure, Device Shipments, Subscriptions & Service Revenues

Published by: ARCchart

Published: Dec. 1, 2012


Table of Contents

A.1 TD-LTE Infrastructure
Macrocells
Revenue
Unit Shipments
FDD versus TDD
Small Cells
A.2 TD-LTE Devices
Device Revenues
Device Shipments
Device Form Factor
A.3 TD-LTE Carrier Subscriptions & Service Revenues
TDD Subscriptions
TDD Service Revenue
A.4 Market Drivers and Barriers for TD-LTE
Market Drivers
Monetizing Unpaired Spectrum
Flexible Uplink and Downlink Capacity
Interoperability with FDD-LTE
Lower Hardware Costs
Vendor Support
Market Barriers
Inferior Coverage in Comparison to FDD-LTE
Transmission Synchronisation
Discontinuous Reception
Impact of Guard Periods
A.5 Vendor Assessment
Infrastructure
Devices

Abstract

More than 50 mobile carriers worldwide have so far committed to TDD LTE technology, and over 30 OEMs have commercially launched TD-LTE compatible devices, with a major proportion of these devices supporting both FDD and TDD modes of operation. Driven by this thriving ecosystem, ARCchart forecasts that TD-LTE subscriptions will surpass 500 million by 2017, representing annual TD-LTE operator service revenues of $91 billion worldwide.

This ARCchart forecast datasheet presents revenue and shipment market size and forecasts for both infrastructure and devices, along with subscription and service revenue projections for the LTE market as a whole, as well as separate projections for the TD-LTE and FDD-LTE sub-markets from 2012 through to 2017. Historical figures are also presented for 2010 and 2011, along with vendor market share data.

Driven by large scale TDD spectrum availability and the technology’s lower deployment costs, the industry witnessed several prominent TD-LTE network deployments in late 2011 and early 2012, including Softbank in Japan, Etisalat Mobily and STC in Saudi Arabia, and Bharti Airtel in India. More recently, in October 2012, the TD-LTE ecosystem received a major boost when China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced that the entire 190 MHz of spectrum in the 2.5/2.6 GHz band will be allocated for TD-LTE deployments in China, which harmonizes its TDD spectrum with Japan and the US, two major LTE markets.

These developments could allow the TD-LTE ecosystem to reach significant economies of scale, boosting further infrastructure and device investments in TD-LTE technology.

Topics of coverage include:

TD-LTE Infrastructure
TD-LTE Devices
TD-LTE Carrier Subscriptions & Service Revenues
Market Drivers and Barriers for TD-LTE
Vendor Assessment

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