DOCSIS 3.0 — Cable's Migration to Broadband IP Services: Global Market Trends & Forecast—2010

Published by: Multimedia Research Group, Inc.

Published: Jul. 1, 2010 - 81 Pages


Table of Contents


1 Executive Summary — Moving To A Converged IP Network


2 Introduction and Background

2.1 Basic DOCSIS Overview

2.2 DOCSIS 3.0/EuroDOCSIS 3.0 Comparison

2.3 Business Overview

2.3.1 Business Drivers for DOCSIS 1.0

2.3.2 Business Drivers for DOCSIS 1.1

2.3.3 Business Drivers for DOCSIS 2.0

2.3.4 Business Drivers for DOCSIS 3.0

2.4 Market Drivers for DOCSIS 3.0

2.5 Issues for DOCSIS 3.0

2.5.1 Legal

2.5.2 Technical

2.5.3 Business


3 Architectures for DOCSIS 3.0 — Pros and Cons

3.1 Initial System Review

3.2 Switched Digital Video

3.3 Integrated vs. Modular DOCSIS 3.0 Architectures

3.4 Bypass Architecture

3.5 DOCSIS Through the CMTS

3.6 Residential Gateway Approach


4 Financial and Business Considerations

4.1 Switched Digital Video

4.2 DOCSIS 3.0 Costs & Control of Costs

4.3 Reclaiming Bandwidth

4.4 Residential Gateway Approach

4.5 DOCSIS Global Service Plan Comparisons


5 DOCSIS 3.0 Forecasts

5.1 Global

5.2 U.S.

5.3 Europe

5.4 Asia


6 Recommendations and Conclusions for MSOs

6.1 Continue with Price Reductions

6.2 Accelerate "IPTV"

6.3 Recognize SDV as a Long-Term Architecture

6.4 Free Up More Bandwidth


7 Vendor Profiles

7.1 Vendor Matrix

7.2 ARRIS

7.3 Aurora Networks

7.4 BelAir Networks (Wireless)

7.5 BigBand Networks

7.6 Casa Systems

7.7 Cisco

7.8 D-Link

7.9 Harmonic

7.10 Incognito Software

7.11 Juniper Networks

7.12 LiquidXStreams

7.13 Motorola

7.14 Netgear

7.15 RGB Networks

7.16 Technicolor (Thomson)

7.17 Ubee Interactive (Ambit Microsystems)

7.18 Vecima Networks

7.19 Verivue


8 Service Provider Profiles

8.1 Asia-Pacific

8.1.1 China

8.1.2 Japan

8.1.3 Korea

8.1.4 Singapore

8.2 Europe

8.2.1 Austria

8.2.2 Belgium

8.2.3 Czech Republic

8.2.4 Denmark

8.2.5 Finland

8.2.6 France

8.2.7 Germany

8.2.8 Hungary

8.2.9 Ireland

8.2.10 The Netherlands

8.2.11 Norway

8.2.12 Poland

8.2.13 Portugal

8.2.14 Romania

8.2.15 Spain

8.2.16 Sweden

8.2.17 Switzerland

8.2.18 United Kingdom

8.3 North America

8.3.1 Canada

8.3.2 United States

8.4 Summary - Global CMTS and DOCSIS 3.0 Subscribers


9 Appendix 1: DOCSIS/EuroDOCSIS Standards Overview


10 Appendix 2: CMAP Overview

10.1 Why is there the need for CMAP?

10.2 CMAP Objectives

10.3 The Key Functional Goals for CMAP


11 Appendix 3: Glossary of Terms


12 Index of Companies

Table of Figures

Figure 2-1: Simple DOCSIS Network Diagram

Figure 2-2: European RF Spectrum for HFC Networks

Figure 3-1: Cisco's SDV Architecture

Figure 3-2: Before and After SDV

Figure 3-3: RGB Networks' Next Gen SDV Architecture

Figure 3-4: DOCSIS IP Video Bypass Diagram

Figure 3-5: GoBackTV's CMTS Bypass System

Figure 3-6: Cisco Architecture for DOCSIS 3.0 Network

Figure 5-1: Top Ten Countries By Broadband Lines in 2014

Figure 5-2: Global Cable Broadband Forecast 2009-2014 (Million)

Figure 5-3: Broadband Line Growth Forecast By Market

Figure 5-4: U.S. Breakdown of Internet Connection Types

Figure 5-5: Willingness to Pay for Very High-Speed Service

Figure 5-6: European Cable Broadband Internet Subscribers By Country - 2010 (Thousands)

Figure 5-7: Asian Cable Broadband Internet Subs By Country - 2010 (Thousands)

Figure 8-1: Virgin Media Cable Broadband Net Adds

Figure 10-1: CMAP Downstream Port Assignments

Figure 10-2: Modular CMAP Architecture

Figure 10-3: CMAP RF Port Configuration

Figure 10-4: Possible CMAP Chassis

Table of Tables

Table 2-1: DOCSIS vs. EuroDOCSIS — Usable Bandwidth

Table 4-1: Global Comparison of DOCSIS 3.0 Service (US$)

Table 5-1: Percentage of U.S. Consumers Likely to Subscribe to Very High-Speed Internet

Table 5-2: Consumer Usage of High-Speed Internet (more than 50 Mbps)

Table 7-1: Vendor Matrix

Table 8-1: Asia-Pacific D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010

Table 8-2: Europe ED3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010

Table 8-3: North America D3 Service Pricing (US$) — 2010

Table 8-4: Estimated DOCSIS 3.0 (Very High-Speed) Cable Broadband Subscribers Worldwide

Abstract

Cable Multi-system Operators (or MSOs) all over the world are deploying DOCSIS 3.0[1] and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0 technology and related architectures in order to serve the growing demand for higher speed Internet service and eventually evolve to an all IP network that also carries video services. There are a number of issues that are causing the solution to not be very clear cut: the economy, existing infrastructure, operational expenses and different approaches to DOCSIS 3.0 upgrades. There is also a deeper issue on how the MSOs intend to free up channels to be upgraded to DOCSIS 3.0, given that there isn’t usually excess bandwidth in their systems today.

This report aims to clarify this picture both for the MSOs and suppliers on a global basis. It also helps other carriers (Satellite, Telco) to better understand the competitive challenge they will be facing in 2010-2014. DOCSIS 3.0 products and architectures are examined with attention to the pros and cons for each of them. In some cases, an MSO uses a step-by-step migration strategy, while in other cases, it will be easier to quickly move to the final destination of being a converged IP network, the stated long-term goal of many of the major MSOs.

Tables and Charts are used to show regional and total Cable Broadband subscribers, DOCSIS 3.0 (and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0) subscribers, service types (by region and Operator) and service pricing, as shown here.

While the DOCSIS architecture has performed well for Operators in the past, it is still not seen as the ultimate goal. A new architecure has emerged as a candidate for the latest NGAA (Next Generation Access Architecture) called the CMAP (Converged Multiservice Access Platform) architecture, proposed primarily by Comcast, but having industry-wide support. CMAP’s technology goals are aimed at enabling lower costs, greater flexibility and incorporating a wide range of headend components. Will CMAP delay the roll-out of DOCSIS 3.0 and Euro-DOCSIS 3.0, or simply strengthen Cable's market position?

ARRIS, Cisco, Motorola, Alcatel-Lucent, Juniper Networks, Virgin Media, Kabel BW, LG Powercom, Harmonic, UPC Austria, SK Telecom, and others make up over 50 key companies described in this report.

[1] Data-Over-Cable Service Interface Specification

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