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Worldwide Enterprise Server 2010 Top 10 Predictions

Published by: IDC

Published: Feb. 1, 2010 - 10 Pages


Table of Contents


Table of Contents
Predictions
In This Study
Situation Overview
FUTURE Outlook
1. A Technology Refresh Cycle, Combined with Delayed/Deferred Server Acquisitions and IT Budget Improvements, Will Drive an Inflection Point for the Server Market, with Modest Growth Resuming in 2010
2. Converged Infrastructure Will Emerge as a Major Objective of New IT Projects, Both to Accelerate Virtualization and as a Stepping-Stone to Cloud Computing
3. Infrastructure Renewal Initiatives Will Increasingly Involve Cloud Migration Considerations in 2010; Workloads Will Be the Critical Pivot Points for These Decisions
4. 2010 Will Be a Crossover Year for Virtualization; More Virtual Servers Will Be Shipped than Physical Servers as Adoption Increases and VM Densities Rise
5. The Relatively Homogenous x86 Volume Market Will Begin Bifurcating into a Value-Driven Market, with Microservers at the Low End and Scalable, Multicore Servers at the High End of the x86 Server Range
6. Advances in x86 Processor Architectures Will Drive Multicore to New Levels with Releases of 8- and 12-Core CPUs, Which Will Push x86 Servers Upmarket to Address High-End Workloads, Including Ones Traditionally Run on Unix Servers
7. After Weathering the Recession, Blade Server Sales Will Accelerate Faster than Any Other Market Segment in 2010, Driven by IT's Quest for Flexible Deployments and Unified Management
8. Oracle's Acquisition of Sun Will Change the Dynamics of the Server Market as Oracle Focuses on Building Scale-Up, High-Value Servers for the Enterprise Datacenter — and Selling Software for Scale-Out, High-Volume x86 Server Deployments
9. Customers Will Focus on the Operational and Business Impacts of the Datacenter as the Vendor Marketing Emphasis Shifts from "Green" to "Energy Efficient"
10. 2010 Will Herald the Beginning of Recovery for the Enterprise Datacenter Market and Help Fuel the Ongoing Growth of the Scale-Out Datacenter
Essential Guidance
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Synopsis

Abstract

This IDC study provides our top 10 predictions for the worldwide server market in 2010. This "10 for '10" list provides analysis for each of the predictions listed, and it provides the rationale for each prediction being made. This document offers the views of IDC's server group analysts for what major transitions will start, continue, or complete during 2010. A list of reference documents is also provided.

The worldwide server market saw a sharp downturn in 2009, as the economic downturn pushed revenue down by double digits compared with CY08 and unit shipments dipped below the 8-million-unit record set in 2008," said Jean S. Bozman, research vice president, IDC Enterprise Platforms Group. "IDC believes that the server market will see single-digit growth and overall stabilization of demand. And yet, there will be a new "normal" whose shape has not yet been seen. Pockets of faster growth may emerge in some areas of Asia/Pacific in 2010, but most regions will see moderate improvements in revenue and unit shipments compared with 2009."



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