North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2010 : Market Research Report

North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 28, 2010 - 72 Pages

Executive Summar: SWOT Analysis; North Africa Mobile SWOT; North Africa Fixed-Line And Broadband SWOT; Business Environment; Middle East And North Africa; North Africa
Table: Middle East Business Environment Rankings: Macroeconomic Data
Table: North Africa Macroeconomic Overview: Industry Forecast Scenario; Mobile
Table: North Africa - Mobile Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts: Fixed Line
Table: North Africa - Fixed-Line Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts: Internet and Broadband
Table: North Africa - Internet And Broadband Sectors - Historical Data & Forecasts: Market Data Analysis; Mobile; Algeria
Table: Algeria Mobile Market, Q309
Table: Algeria - Mobile Blended ARPUs, 2007-2009 (user/month): Morocco
Table: Morocco Mobile Market, September 2009: Tunisia
Table: Tunisia - Mobile Market, September 2009: 3G; Algeria; Morocco; Mobile Operator Data; Algeria - Djezzy; Algeria - Mobilis; Algeria - Nedjma; Morocco - Maroc Telecom; Morocco - Meditel; Tunisia - Tunisie Telecom; Tunisia - Tunisiana; Fixed Line; Algeria; Morocco
Table: Moroccan Fixed-Line Market, 2006-2008: Tunisia; Internet; Algeria; Morocco; Tunisia; Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: North African Regulatory Environment: Algeria; Morocco; Tunisia; Competitive Landscape; Key Players
Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector: Company Monitor; Ericsson Net Sales; Ericsson Net Sales By Geographic Area; Ericsson's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Table: Ericsson Recent Contract Wins In MEA: Profiles; Appendix:; Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview; Fixed-Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview: Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview: Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview: Macroeconomic Data Tables
Table: Algeria - Economic Activity
Table: Morocco - Economic Activity
Table: Tunisia - Economic Activity: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms: BMI Methodology; How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts: Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators: Sources

Abstract

The third quarter of 2009 has seen reasonable growth across North Africa’s mobile markets, although some have faired better than others. Morocco in particular has seen excellent growth between July and September 2009. Morocco has also experienced considerable excitement thanks to the selling of Meditel. However, there was some surprise when the shares previously held by Portugal Telecom and Telefónica went to existing shareholders and other Moroccan investment companies. It had been anticipated that a big regional player like Etisalat might make an entrance. This is still possible, as the new owners may sell a stake, but it has taken some of the excitement out of the event. The more significant entrance of Wana into the commercial mobile arena is anticipated to hot up the market more.

Despite this, the market has made remarkable gains in the third quarter, with not far off 2mn net additions. Given the fact the first quarter saw lacklustre growth, and the second quarter a small market contraction, this is an impressive turn around. Tunisia, too, has shown extremely strong mobile growth in the third quarter when compared to the first half of the year. Algeria is continuing along a healthy mobile growth trajectory in keeping with its showing for H109.

There are a couple of interesting changes to our North Africa report this quarter. First of all, as this is our first issue of 2010, we have extended all of our forecasts to 2014. Aside from this extension, the forecasts have seen no major change, apart from those small alterations introduced by the impressive growth in Morocco. The other change is the introduction of BMI’s new Middle East and North Africa Business Environment Rankings. North African markets have in general more in common with Middle Eastern markets than the often very underdeveloped ones in Sub-Saharan Africa, this being said, Algeria, Tunisia and Morocco, along with Egypt, have slotted in pretty close to the bottom of the new table. Perhaps even more exciting is BMI’s planned inclusion of Libya into our upcoming Q210 North Africa Telecommunications report.

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North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Table of Contents

Abstract