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Iraq Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 26, 2010 - 66 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summar
SWOT Analysis
Iraq Mobile SWOT
Iraq Wireline SWOT
Iraq Political SWOT
Iraq Economic SWOT
Iraq Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Middle East And North Africa
Iraq
Table: Middle East Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Iraq Mobile Market, Q309
Table: Mobile Operator Market Shares 2006-2009
3G
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Mobile Operator Data
Table : Mobile Market Overview
Table: Zain Iraq (Formerly MTC Atheer) Market Overview
Table: Asia Cell Market Overview
Table: Other (Korek, SanaTel & Moutiny) Market Overview
Fixed Line
Broadband
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: Iraq - Regulatory Bodies & Their Responsibilities
Legislation & Market Liberalisation
Regulation
Licensing & Spectrum
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players - Iraq Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators - Financial Indicators
Company Monitor
Table: Ericsson Net Sales
Table: Ericsson Net Sales By Geographic Area
Table: Ericsson's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Table: Ericsson Recent Contract Wins In MEA
Company Profiles
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Iraq Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education & Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market & Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 1999-2004
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Q209 and Q309, for both of which new data has been included in this update of our Iraq Telecommunications report, were fairly quiet quarters for Iraq’s mobile market. Following a government instruction to register prepaid users and disconnect those that had not given in their details, Asiacell was crowing in July 2009 about how it had complied so well with government instructions that it disconnected 500,000 subscribers, but soon reconnected most of them after they successfully registered. This led to poor growth for Asiacell in the second quarter, but excellent growth in Q309.

Zain, meanwhile, has said nothing about disconnecting unregistered users, but Q309 has seen net losses from its subscriber base. This could be down to SIM registration, or could be a reaction to the poor service for which Zain received a hefty fine earlier in the year. In any case, all of this has done little to upset Zain’s dominant position in the market, and it ended Q309 with a 49.7% market share.

Etisalat is still threatening to buy Korek Telecom, but for now it remains on its own. Korek seems to be growing well, but is a long way off catching up with either of the larger operators. More competition may be on the way. A new threat to all of the operators comes in the form of a potential new operator, as a licence tender was slated to take place before the end of 2009. This did not happen, and the licence auction seems likely to be further delayed thanks to the regimes increasing tendency towards indecision on this type of commercial issue. A new licence would certainly be a positive move for the market, which saw a big player removed when Zain took over Orascom’s Iraqna.

Iraq’s fixed-line market remains swathed in mystery, with virtually no information or data available on it. BMI has lost confidence that the rebuilding investment is leading to growth in the sector. However, the final signing of an agreement to link Iraq to a high capacity submarine cable is a very positive sign, and greater broadband development could be on the way, although BMI still believes that this is going to take a long time.

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