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Uganda Infrastructure Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 26, 2010 - 63 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summar
Market Overview
Global Overview
Governments To The Rescue: The Global Surge In Infrastructure Spending
Table: Infrastructure Stimulus Plans List, Correct As Of July 2009
SWOT Analysis
Uganda Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Uganda Political SWOT
Uganda Economic SWOT
Uganda Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
Table: Competitiveness Of Uganda's Infrastructure
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Ports
Roads
Rail Networks
Table: Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Water Networks
Pipelines
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
Construction Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Table: Major Projects - Construction
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Economic And Construction Data
Business Environment
Africa Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings, October 2009
Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Uganda Business Environment Overview
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Project Finance Ratings: Outlook for Africa
Table: Design And Construction Rating
Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Foreign Investment Policy
Labour Force
Legal Framework
Tax Regime
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Uganda - Economic Activity
Political Outlook
Company Monitor
Salini Costruttori

Abstract

Uganda’s infrastructure is currently receiving some much-needed investment, with the power sector the prime focus. However, growth in 2009 is expected to have slowed from previous highs. In BMI’s Q110 Uganda Infrastructure Report, we are forecasting the construction industry to grow by 4.41% in 2009 to reach a value of UGX4trn (US$2.13bn).

Data from the Ugandan Bureau of Statistics regarding the construction price index, which is updated on a quarterly basis, confirms BMI’s forecasts for a slow-down in growth in the civil works industry following high growth in 2008, with the price index in Q309 standing 3% lower than in Q308.

Uganda’s infrastructure sector has been dominated by news in the utilities sector over the past quarter. News from the two biggest hydropower projects under construction sheds more light on the status of both projects. Reports that the 250MW Bujagali hydropower project had been delayed were confirmed by the project director from BEL, the company developing the project. However, although it was noted that the 2011 completion date was no longer attainable due to design changes, a new completion date was not revealed. At the same time, progress on the 700MW Karuma hydropower project appeared more concrete this quarter, with the revelation of the company that won the contract for consultancy on the project. India’s Energy Infratech was awarded the contract and will carry out studies, draw up designs and prepare the tender. The project will be tendered as a public-private partnership (PPP).

These two projects are the focus of the country’s hopes to build up sufficient electricity capacity to meet demand. Uganda’s electricity supply is perhaps one of the biggest barriers to growth and investment in the country. Another is the lack of transparency. This issue continues to be a very present threat to infrastructure development in Uganda. The Entebbe Airport debacle, in which certain elements of the government had allegedly leased out the airport, brings about questions over the lack of coherence in the government regarding infrastructure. The confusion that ensued and still surrounds the issue confirms a clear absence of coherent policy and transparency in the government. Most recently, the EU reportedly withdrew funding for road projects in the country due to irregularities in the tendering process. One positive news story in the transport infrastructure sector in the country is the eventual completion of the Kampala Northern Bypass by Salini Costruttori in October 2009. The 21km road took five years to complete due to disagreements over design and the appearance of cracks on the road. Although the road has finally been completed, the time scale and the issues surrounding the project highlight weaknesses in the country’s business environment.

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