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Central America Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 28, 2010 - 79 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summar
SWOT Analysis
Central America Telecommunications SWOT
Business Environment
Latin America Business Environment Rankings
Central America
Table: BMI Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Central America - Mobile Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Central America - Fixed-Line Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts
Internet
Table: Central America - Internet Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Belize
Table: Belize - Mobile Market, September 2009
Costa Rica
Table: Costa Rica - Mobile Market, September 2009
El Salvador
Table: El Salvador - Mobile Market, September 2009
Guatemala
Table: Guatemala - Mobile Market, September 2009
Honduras
Table: Honduras - Mobile Market, September 2009
Nicaragua
Table: Nicaragua - Mobile Market, September 2009
Panama
Table: Panama - Mobile Market, September 2009
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Fixed Line
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Table: Guatemala - Fixed-Line Market, June 2008
Honduras
Table: Honduras - Fixed Lines In Service (‘000)
Nicaragua
Panama
Internet
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Table: Honduras - Internet Market
Nicaragua
Table: Nicaragua - Internet Subscriber Types (%)
Panama
Regulatory Environment And Industry Developments
Table: Central America - Telecoms Regulators
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Nicaragua
Panama
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players - Central America - Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators - Financial Indicators (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Vendor Profile
Table: Alcatel-Lucent Q309 Results EURmn
Table: Contracts
Profiles
Regional Profile: Millicom International Cellular
SWOT Analysis
Table: Millicom International Cellular Subscribers, 2008-2009 (‘000)
Regional Profile: América Móvil
SWOT Analysis
Table: América Móvil Subscribers, 2008-2009 (‘000)
Table: América Móvil Mobile Data, 2008-2009
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Internet
Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Costa Rica moves ever closer to a liberalised telecoms market as new fixed-line and broadband operators have been licensed and strategies from these new players are beginning to emerge. Millicom International Cellular’s Amnet unit looks set to be a major competitor to incumbent Instituto Costarricense de Electricidad (ICE). BMI looks forward to the entrance of new mobile operators as we believe this is the sector that will be most transformed by liberalisation. ICE has returned spectrum in advance of new licences being auctioned and new operators may be present by the end of 2010. BMI expects the market to take off once new companies enter although we await further details of the winners and strategies to emerge from the process.

At the other end of the scale is Belize Telemedia (BTL) which was renationalised in 2009. As yet there has been little indication that the operator will be sold again to private investors. BMI believes this will have a negative effect on the market’s overall growth, especially with competition to the incumbent appearing to be weak.

Meanwhile, Honduras has shown how new competition can drive a market with local news sources stating the penetration rate had hit 103% by September 2009. While BMI does not believe this figure to be entirely accurate, backed by regulatory data, we do estimate that the market hit almost 100% penetration at the end of 2009 with the entrance of Digicel having maintained a fast growth rate in the market.

Digicel’s presence in Panama also had a dramatic effect there as leading operator +móvil, a unit of Cable & Wireless Panama, lost 549,000 subscribers between March and September 2009. The newcomer’s strategy of low cost services and aggressive marketing has served it well in other markets and BMI believes the company has grown very quickly in Panama despite the market’s maturity. Fellow new operator Claro has also seen good growth although at a much slower pace than Digicel. BMI has extended forecasts for all sectors to 2014 which sees the majority of fixed-line markets stalling or even in decline. Broadband markets will show the strongest growth looking forwards but Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua will fail to generate penetration rates above 1% even by 2014.

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