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Singapore Tourism Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 26, 2010 - 47 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summar
SWOT Analysis
Singapore Tourism SWOT
Singapore Political SWOT
Singapore Economic SWOT
Singapore Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
Arrivals
Table: Arrivals Data, 2007-2014
Accommodation
Table: Accommodation Data, 2007-2014
Expenditure
Table: Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2007-2014
Inbound Tourism
Table: Tourist Arrivals By Region, 2007-2014 (‘000, unless stated)
Table: Tourist Arrivals By Country, 2007-2014 (‘000)
Outbound Tourism
Tourism: Resident Departures By Destination Region, 2007-2014 (‘000, unless stated)
Table: Resident Departures By Destination Country, 2007-2014 (‘000)
Attracting The BTMICE Market
Market Overview - Travel
Commercial Airlines
Budget Airlines
Table: Singapore’s Low-Cost Airlines - Key Players, 2009
Liberalising The Lucrative Kuala Lumpur-Singapore Route
Cruises
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q108-Q409 (US$/bbl)
Table: Oil Product Prices, 2007-2014 (US$/bbl)
Market Overview - Hospitality
Accommodation
Key Players
Integrated Resorts
Infrastructure
H5N1 And H1N1 Virus Update
Business Environment Outlook
Tourism Business Environment Ratings
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Singapore’s Security Risk Rating
Regional Security: North And South Asia
Currency Forecast
Table: BMI’s Singapore Currency Forecasts, 2010-2011
Global Assumptions
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2008-2011 (%)
Table: Global Assumptions, 2008-2014
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2008-2011 (average)
Company Profiles
Singapore Airlines
Tiger Airways
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Tourism Industry
Tourism Ratings -Methodology
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators
Table: Weighting of Components
Sources

Abstract

Short-Term Outlook Negative…

Singapore’s tourism industry experienced a difficult H109 Visitor arrivals were down by 11.5%, to just 4.51mn in January-June. The Singapore Tourist Board (STB) attributed the poor performance primarily to the global economic crisis, but arrivals from North Asia were also reduced due to the effects of the H1N1 virus (swine flu) pandemic.

From the halfway point of the year, tourist arrivals resumed an upwards trend. In December 2009, the STB said visitor arrivals stood at 8.71mn for January-November. Strong increases were recorded in arrivals from Indonesia, Malaysia and China over October and November. That said, we believe the most likely outcome for the year as a whole is a slight fall in arrivals from 2008’s 10.12mn arrivals, mainly as a result of the very poor first half.

…But The Longer-Term Prognosis Remains Positive

Although 2009 was difficult for the Singaporean tourism industry, there are reasons to be positive about the medium-to-long term as the global economy recovers. In particular, the opening of the two integrated resorts, at Marina Bay and Sentosa, in 2010 should help the island attract new tourists. Also in 2010, Singapore will host the first Youth Olympics and open the International Cruise Terminal.

Tiger Airways Announces IPO

In January 2010, Singapore’s Tiger Airways unveiled its long awaited initial public offering (IPO) of stock in the company. The airline hopes to raise SGD273mn via the IPO, which it will use to fund aircraft purchases and pay down debt. Some media reports said Tiger Airways had initially hoped to raise more money via the IPO, but an uncertain outlook for global investment markets and the challenging outlook for the airline industry may have both played a part in the downsizing of the offer.

Integrated Resorts

Opening Soon Four of the new hotels at the Sentosa integrated resort - Maxims Tower, Hotel Michael, Festive Hotel and the Hard Rock Hotel Singapore -start phased opening in late January 2010. The other two hotels at the resort are the Equarius Hotel and Spa Villas. Bookings for the hotels opened in H209. Other attractions at Sentosa will include a Universal Studios theme park, a casino and the world’s largest oceanarium. BMI believes Sentosa and other new resorts will do much to significantly boost Singapore’s tourism industry from 2010 onwards. We expect to report on the opening of the resort and its prospects in Q210.

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