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EMEA Banking 2010 Top 10 Predictions: The Year of Intelligence

Published by: IDC

Published: Jan. 26, 2010 - 19 Pages


Table of Contents


Table of Contents
Predictions
In This Report
Situation Overview
On the Road to Recovery
The Dynamics of 2010: Three Themes
IT Spending Will Remain Flat in 2010
Banking Business Dislocation
Future Outlook
2010 Predictions
Prediction #1: Risk Spending Will Dominate Otherwise Flat IT Spending Priorities
Prediction #2: Banks in 2010 Will No Longer be Able to Afford Tactical Regulatory Investment as Compliance IT Budgets Grow to 25%
Prediction #3: Banks Will be Challenged to Take Out 10% IT Costs to Survive
Prediction #4: Independent Risk Control Will Become Integrated Risk Control as Risk Management Moves Closer to the Point of Origination
Prediction #5: Data Management Strategy Will be Revised to Deliver Control Back to the Business and End User
Prediction #6: Two More Big European Banks Will Fail, While Many Small Institutions Will be Forced to Merge
Prediction #7: New Government and Regulatory Requirements Will Open the Market to More Nimble Competitors
Prediction #8: Will the Banking Industry Finally Tackle the Single Customer View?
Prediction #9: Better Business Intelligence Will Allow Banks to Battle for SMEs in 2010
Prediction #10: In 2010, Mobile Banking Will Gain Critical Momentum, Contactless Payments Will Not Achieve Critical Mass, and Mobile Payments Will Continue to Fail
Essential Guidance
Essential Guidance for Banks
Get Your House in Order!
Essential Guidance for Vendors
Home in Your Skills!
Learn More
Related Research
Synopsis
Figure: Real GDP Growth (Annual Percentage Change)
Figure: Bank Profit and Loss, Nine Months to 2009, €B
Figure: 2010 Market Dynamics for EMEA Banking
Figure: EMEA IT Spending Forecast, 2010
Figure: Selected EU Countries' Total Number of Credit Institutions, December 2002 to December 2009, Three-Year CAGR -10.57%
Figure: New Regulations for Banks — A Lot to Think About

Abstract

This IDC Financial Insights report presents our top 10 predictions for EMEA financial services. Focus, transparency, and resolve will continue to be the guidelines for 2010, as banks tackle continued economic and financial strain. As the cost of doing business increases, banks that can harness information to deliver real intelligence will lead the pack. The difficulty over the next 12 months will be balancing the cost of doing business and growth opportunities.

According to Rachel Hunt, director for EMEA banking research, "Banks that started transformation projects three years ago will be better placed to compete in the future, while small institutions need to understand that few will survive the greatest market dislocation we have ever seen, without considerable review of their operating models. 2010 will be the year of intelligence as a competitive differentiator, as they tackle regulation, increasing audit and transparency requirements, and new competitors."



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