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United Arab Emirates Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 18, 2010 - 87 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
United Arab Emirates Mobile SWOT
UAE Wireline SWOT
United Arab Emirates Political SWOT
United Arab Emirates Economic SWOT
United Arab Emirates Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Middle East And North Africa
UAE
Table: Middle East Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: UAE - Mobile Subscribers, Q309
Table: UAE - Mobile Net Additions Market
Subscriber Divisions
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Country Outlook
Mobile TV
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services
Mobile Operator Data
UAE Mobile Market Overview
Etisalat
Du
Fixed Line
VoIP
Internet
Broadband
FTTH
Market Restrictions
Wireline Contract Wins
Table - Wireline Contract Wins
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Legislation And Market Liberalisation
Carrier Preselection
Regulation
New Wireless Agency
Licensing And Spectrum
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players: UAE Telecoms Sector
Table: UAE Financial Indicators (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Ericsson Net Sales By Operating Division, SEKmn
Ericsson Net Sales By Geographic Area, SEKmn
Ericsson's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Table: Ericsson Recent Contract Wins In MEA
Profiles
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: UAE Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2000-2004
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

BMI’s Q1 2010 update on the telecoms market of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) contains newly revised and extended forecasts for the country’s fixed-line, broadband and mobile telephony markets. Our forecasts, which extend to the end of 2014, incorporate second and third quarter data published by the country’s main telecoms operators Emirates Telecommunications Corporation (Etisalat) and Emirates Integrated Telecommunication Company (du).

According to the latest figures published by Etisalat and du, the UAE mobile market grew by over 4% in the three months to September 30 2009. Compared with the first two quarters of 2009, the third quarter of the year was a much faster one for mobile subscriber growth.

Our new forecast for the UAE mobile market is based on the assumption of reasonably strong subscriber growth in Q409. Despite the fact that the market is increasingly saturated, BMI predicts that, from 2010, the UAE mobile customer base will benefit from an economic recovery. We expect this development to result in renewed demand for mobile services from a ‘second wave’ of migrant workers. The demographic characteristics of the UAE, together with the high proportion of prepaid users, means that the level of multiple SIM ownership is likely to continue being high over the next few years. Recent developments in the UAE telecoms market include the October 2009 announcement that the country’s telecoms regulator, the TRA, was planning to legalise international calls via voice-over-IP (VoIP). Etisalat and du are currently the only companies allowed to provide internal VoIP services within the UAE, which banned internet-based calls in 2004. Under the new policy, licensed providers will be allowed to offer international VoIP. This means that, initially, Etisalat and du will be the only providers that are able to offer the service.

Also in October, it was reported that the TRA had approved plans to introduce number portability (NP) for mobile users in early 2010. The implementation of NP should increase competition between Etisalat and du, enabling subscribers to switch provider while retaining their original number. However, the service will only be available for customers who have been with their service provider for a year or more. This quarter sees the introduction of a new set of a new set of Business Environment Rankings for the Middle East. Following our decision to reclassify Turkey as an emerging Europe market, Turkey is no longer covered by our Business Environment Rankings for the Middle East. We have also added several North African countries to our Business Environment Rankings for the Middle East to form a combined Middle East and North Africa (MENA) table. The UAE has dropped from eighth to ninth position in our latest set of Business Environment Rankings for the telecoms sector of the Middle East and North Africa. The lower position is the result of a weaker score in the Telecoms Market category.

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