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Turkey Freight Transport Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 18, 2010 - 58 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
The Baku-Ceyhan Oil Pipeline Industry SWOT
Turkey Political SWOT
Turkey Economic SWOT
Turkey Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Rating
Table: Europe Freight Transport Business Environment Ratings
Turkey’s Freight Industry Ratings
Turkey Performance Index (LPI)
Political Risk Summary
Economic Risk Summary
Business Environment
Legal Code/Corruption
Red Tape
Labour Force
Industry Trends And Developments
Road
Rail
Air
Sea
Industry Forecast Scenario
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q108-Q409 (US$/bbl)
Table: Oil Product Prices, 2007-2014 (US$/bbl)
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Turkey - Economic Activity, 2006-2014
Transport Outlook
Table: Freight Transport Indicators, 2007-2014
Table: Freight Turnover, Domestic And International, 2007-2014
Trade Environment
Table: Value Of Imports By Category, 2007-2014 (US$mn)
Table: Value Of Exports By Category, 2007-2014 (US$mn)
Table: Turkey’s Top Export Destinations, 2002-2006 (US$mn)
Table: Turkey’s Export Trade Growth, 2003-2006 (% y-o-y)
Table: Turkey’s Import Trade Growth, 2003-2006 (% y-o-y)
Table: Turkey’s Top Import Sources, 2002-2006 (US$mn)
Trade Environment
Multi-Modal
Infrastructure
Competitive Landscape
Road
Competitive Landscape
Rail
Competitive Landscape
Air
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile: Türk Hava Yollari (Turkish Airlines, THY)
Table: Türk Hava Yollari’s Key Ratios (%)
Water
Maritime Competitive Landscape
Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Country Snapshot: Turkey Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Transport Industry
Sources

Abstract

This year signals the beginning of a recovery in Turkey's shipping sector. The country's imports are forecast to grow by 5% with exports set to increase by 3.5%, an improvement on the country's 2009 trade figures, which, according to our Country Risk desk, would see the country record a total trade decline of 7.45% for the full year. Turkey's total trade for 2010 is expected to increase by 4.3%, and this will have a knock-on effect at the nation's ports, as higher imports and exports feed through to cargo throughput volumes. The country's largest port, the port of Ambarli, was expected to record a decline in its cargo volumes in 2009, with BMI's shipping desk predicting a decline of 17.2% in the port's total tonnage throughput and a fall of 13.3% in the facility's container volumes. In 2010, however, with trade volumes expected to pick up, our analysts forecast that the port will handle 3.6mn tonnes, a y-o-y growth of 7.97%.

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