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South Korea Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 18, 2010 - 83 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
South Korea Wireline SWOT
South Korea Mobile SWOT
South Korea Political SWOT
South Korea Economic SWOT
South Korea Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Asia
Table: Asia Telecoms Business Environment Rankings
South Korea
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: South Korea Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
ARPU
Table: South Korea Telecoms Sector - ARPU - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: South Korea Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: South Korean Mobile Market Net Additions, Q309
Table: South Korean Mobile Market, Q309
ARPU & MOU
Table: South Korean Mobile Operators - Monthly Outgoing Minutes Of Use, 2006-2009 (bn)
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Table: Asia VAS Market By Service (US$bn)
Country Outlook
Table: SK Telecom Wireless Internet ARPU By Service Type (KRW)
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services, 2008-2009
Mobile Operator Data
Table: South Korea Mobile Market Overview
Table: SK Telecom
Table: KT
Table: LG Telecom
Fixed Line
Table: South Korean Local Access Market (PSTN + VoIP), September 2009
Domestic Long Distance (DLD)
LG Dacom Domestic Long-Distance Revenues, Q308-Q309 (KRWmn)
Broadband
Table: South Korean Broadband Market, June 2009
Table: South Korea Broadband Access Types By Operator, June 2009
IPTV
WiBro
Wireline Developments
Table: Wireline (Fixed-Line And Broadband) Developments
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibility In South Korea
Legislation
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Competitor Analysis
Table: Key Players - South Korea Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2001-2008 (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Table: Ericsson Segment Sales (SEKbn)
Table: Major Contracts Awarded To Ericsson, 2009
Table: Ericsson Net Sales By Region (SEKmn)
Table: Sony Ericsson Financial Statements
Selected Profiles - Operators
Appendix
Key Players
Fixed-Line Overview
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband Overview
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile Overview
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: South Korea Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Greater competition across the telecoms market in South Korea has placed pressure on the mobile operators. We have noted previously a growing trend toward consolidation occurring, which led KT Corporation to acquire sister mobile unit Korea Telecom Freetel (KTF), while SK Telecom is to absorb SK Broadband. Following this, LG Telecoms will also seek to merge its fixed-line LG Dacom and internet unit LG Powercom in early 2010, which should give it a better chance of competing against rival operators, and help to bundle its products of fixed-line, mobile and broadband. We have revised our forecasts for fixed line as of 2008, taking into consideration both PSTN and VoIP subscriber figures. At the end of September 2009, there were a total of 24.49mn subscribers, which was up from 23.657mn as of YE08. This related to the demand for cheaper VoIP services, which has helped to drive growth of the fixed-line market, while demand for traditional PSTN lines is in decline. By the end of 2009, we forecast a total of 24.693mn, and a penetration rate of 51.0% before rising to 55.5% as of 2014.

Demand for mobile services continues to rise, due to aggressively priced tariffs, and the Korean Communications Commission (KCC)’s announcement made in September 2009, that operators need to reduce their tariffs on the back of an OECD report, which showed South Korea to have mobile tariffs significantly higher than 15 developed markets with similar competitive landscapes. Furthermore, to help reduce tariffs further, the regulator announced that it was considering the introduction of MVNOs in early 2010.

There were a total of 47.66mn mobile subscribers as of September 2009, which was up from 45.607mn subscribers at the end of 2008. Over the year, this revealed an increase of 5.3%. Future growth in the mobile market will come from 3G, as operators look to protect their bottom lines from falling mobile tariffs and possible MVNO entrants. In view of this, we have begun to witness increasingly aggressive 3G market competition occurring in the form of SK Telecom launching its T Store, as KT launched the iPhone in November 2009. BMI estimates that by the end of 2009, there were a total of 27.869mn 3G subscribers representing a penetration rate of 57.5%, before rising to 86.5% as of 2014. Meanwhile, South Korea rose to fifth place in BMI’s latest Business Environment ratings table, having fallen to sixth place in the previous quarter. This related to a more mature telecoms market emerging in the quarter, as a result of higher penetration rates occurring in the mobile, fixed-line and broadband sectors.

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