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Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 18, 2010 - 88 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Hong Kong Wireline SWOT
Hong Kong Mobile SWOT
Hong Kong Political SWOT
Hong Kong Economic SWOT
Hong Kong Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Hong Kong
Table: Asia Telecoms Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
ARPU
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile ARPU - Historical Data & Forecasts (HKD)
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed-Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market (2G & 3G), June 2009
Subscriber Mix
3G
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market (3G), June 2009
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Table: Asia VAS Market By Service (US$bn)
Country Outlook
HSDPA
Mobile TV
Mobile Banking/Finance
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services
Mobile Operator Data
Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview
CSL New World Mobility
Hutchison 3G
SmarTone
PCCW Mobile
Fixed Line
Table: PCCW Fixed-Line Service Revenue Breakdown (HKDmn)
Fixed-Wireless Access
Internet
WiMAX
Wireline Contract Wins
Table: Wireline Contract Wins
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Hong Kong: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Licensing
Spectrum
Interconnection
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Markets
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters, 2003-2008
Company Monitor
Table: Ericsson Segment Sales (SEKbn)
Table: Major Contracts Awarded To Ericsson (2009)
Table: Ericsson Net Sales By Region (SEKmn)
Table: Sony Ericsson Financial Statements
Company Profiles
CSL New World Mobility
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Hong Kong Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2005-2012
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

BMI’s latest update on the telecommunications market of Hong Kong shows a fall in this quarter’s Business Environment Ratings table. Although the country maintained its overall telecoms score over the quarter, its position points to the maturity of the fixed-line, mobile and broadband internet markets. Hong Kong’s mobile subscriber base grew by 4.77% in the first eight months of 2009, according to figures provided by OFTA. We anticipate mobile subscriber growth of around 7.9% for the year. Although penetration levels are high, reflecting the presence of a large number of multiple SIM owners, as well as inactive prepaid customers, most operators continue to report a steady expansion in the number of postpaid subscribers on their networks. Postpaid growth is being driven by a steady increase in the number of 3G customers. Hong Kong had 3.24mn 3G subscribers at the end of August 2009, reflecting growth of 15.3% since the start of the year. We now predict that the 3G subscriber base will grow by 20.3% in 2009, a respectable growth rate although one which is notably lower compared to the previous year.

The latest data to be published for the broadband internet market was for the end of September 2009. The number of broadband subscribers grew by 2.2% in the first nine months of the year to reach a total of 1.991mn. This low growth rate reflects the maturity of the current market, with penetration rates expected to reach just over 28% by the end of the year. In the next five years, BMI forecasts that average annual growth will be 1.9%, so that by 2014 there will be a total of 2.199mn broadband subscribers and a penetration rate of 30.1%.

Recent developments in the Hong Kong telecoms market show that OFTA is proposing to auction additional spectrum in the 850MHz, 900MHz and 2GHz bands. The regulator believes that the new frequencies will prove beneficial to existing players and new entrants alike at a time when demand for mobile data services is booming. OFTA plans to sell one frequency block of 2 x 5MHz in the 850MHz band, one frequency block of 2 x 5MHz in the 900MHz band and two frequency blocks of 4.8MHz and 4.9MHz in the 2GHz band. No spectrum cap is contemplated, therefore bidders may make offers for all four blocks should they wish to do so. The auction, which would be open to both established operators and potential new entrants, does not specify particular technologies to be used.

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