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Egypt Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 22, 2010 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Egypt Mobile Sector SWOT
Egypt Fixed-Line And Broadband Sector SWOT
Egypt Political SWOT
Egypt Economic SWOT
Egypt Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Middle East And North Africa
Egypt
Table: MENA Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Egypt Mobile Subscribers, Q309
Table: Egypt Mobile Net Additions, Q309
Subscriber Mix, 2006-2008
ARPUs
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Country Outlook
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services
Mobile Operator Data
Country: Egypt
Mobinil
Vodafone
Etisalat
Fixed Line
Broadband
Wireline Developments
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Egypt: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Legislation And Market Liberalisation
Regulation
Licensing And Spectrum
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Company Monitor
Ericsson Net Sales By Geographic Area
Ericsson Net Sales By Geographic Area
Ericsson's Position In The Global Handset Market, Unit Sales (mn)
Table: Ericsson Recent Contract Wins In MEA
Profiles
Appendix:
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Internet
Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Egypt Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2010
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Though some in the country have at times suggested that, with mobile penetration almost at 70%, the market is effectively facing saturation, growth shows no sign of slowing. Despite the fact that some areasof the country are still without coverage, and that there is still a reasonably significant proportion of the population for whom a mobile is completely out of reach, a steady stream of new subscribers is still flowing in. This may have a lot to do with multiple SIM ownership, and the overlap of inactive SIMs, but even so it remains a positive sign. BMI calculates that there were 54.24mn mobile subscribers in Egypt at the end of September 2009, putting the market on target to reach 58.88mn by the end of the year. BMI still differs somewhat in our estimation of Etisalat’s subscriber base form the NTRA figure, a discrepancy that we have explained at length, but the two are getting closer. Mobinil remains the clear market leader, despite the uncertainty that has been hanging over it for some months over the question of its ownership. It is looking increasingly likely that France Télécom will eventually gain control, and this could have some interesting implications for the future direction of the company and its role in the market.

There was some excitement in the final quarter of 2009 when it was announced that the NTRA was tendering two ‘triple-play’ licences for companies to provide television, internet and voice services to specified developments of residential and business properties. Apart form the fact that this opened up an interesting new opportunity for entering the Egyptian telecoms market, it also appeared that such licences would, although not in a very far-reaching way, end Telecom Egypt (TE)’s monopoly on fixed-line voice provision. TE straightened the score, however, by explaining that the new licensees would have to lease capacity from the incumbent for the voice services, though they could provide their own data infrastructure. Still, interest in the new licences seems to be high, despite their limitations, with 18 companies buying bidding documents.

After big losses in Q209, the fixed-line market dropped by a much more moderate degree in the third quarter. BMI is now expecting it to settle into a pattern of slow but steady decline. An exciting new development in BMI’s latest update of the Egypt Telecommunications report is the introduction of the new Middle East and North Africa Business Environment Rankings. The telecoms markets of North Africa, including Egypt’s, have in many ways much more in common with those in the Middle East than they do with many in Sub-Saharan Africa, and this change reflects that fact.

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