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Qatar Infrastructure Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 12, 2010 - 77 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Market Overview
Qatar
Global Overview
Governments To The Rescue: The Global Surge In Infrastructure Spending
Table: Infrastructure Stimulus Plans List, Correct As Of July 2009
SWOT Analysis
Qatar Infrastructure Industry SWOT
Qatar Political SWOT
Qatar Economic SWOT
Qatar Business Environment SWOT
Major Infrastructure Developments And Key Projects
Transport Infrastructure Overview
Table: Competitiveness Of Qatar’s Transport Infrastructure
New And Ongoing Projects
Airports
Ports
Qatar-Bahrain Causeway
Roads
Rail Networks
Table: Qatar Major Infrastructure Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Power Plants And Transmission Grids
Oil And Gas Pipelines
Water
Table: Qatar Major Infrastructure Projects - Energy And Utilties
Construction Overview
New And Ongoing Projects
Residential Construction
Commercial Construction
Industrial Construction
Table: Qatar Major Infrastructure Projects - Construction
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction Industry Data
Business Environment
Middle East - Business Environment Regional Overview
Table: Middle East Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
Qatar Business Environment Overview
Limits To Potential Returns
Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For The Middle East
Table: Design And Construction Rating
Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Foreign Direct Investment
Table: Middle East And Africa Annual FDI Inflows
Foreign Trade Regime
Table: BMI Trade Ratings
Table: Top Export Destinations
Labour Force
Table: Labour Force Quality
Legal Framework
Table: BMI Legal Framework Ratings
Tax Regime
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Qatar - Economic Activity
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Regional Outlook
Company Monitor
Consolidated Contractors Company (CCC)
Aljaber Engineering

Abstract

Big-ticket infrastructure projects in the country are sustaining construction activity, and with many more in the pipeline, Qatar will continue to be one of our best prospects for growth in the construction industry over the mid term. In BMI’s Q110 Qatar Infrastructure Report we have revised up our forecast for Qatar’s construction industry nominal value for 2009, which we are now estimating to reach QAR21.61bn (US$5.94).

Qatar’s infrastructure sector has been defined by a small number of large-scale projects over recent years, with major new transport infrastructure assets under construction. Transport has been the predominant beneficiary of this investment, and this is set to continue with the creation of the Qatar Railways Development Company (QRDC) in November 2009. Formed by a partnership between DB International and Qatari Diar, the company will implement Qatar’s roughly US$17bn plans for establishing a national rail network. Plans include a metro system for Doha, a line linking to Saudi Arabia, 325km of freight rail lines, the majority of which will also have passenger services and a highspeed rail line to Bahrain (part of the Qatar-Bahrain Causeway).

A concrete starting date for construction work on the Qatar-Bahrain causeway is still to be announced as price negotiations continue between the Qatar Bahrain Causeway Foundation and the Vinci-led consortium building the project. The latest estimate is that work will begin in the first quarter of 2010. An official opening date for the US$14bn New Doha International Airport has, however, been announced, with the project now due to be completed in 2011, as two phases were merged into one. Strong nominal growth has been registered for the first two quarters of the year, according to data released by the Qatar Statistics Authority. In Q109 year-on-year (y-o-y) growth was 20.67% in nominal terms, with 17.3% y-o-y nominal growth in Q209. Consequently we are estimating 18% nominal growth for the year. While this is strong growth, it must be noted that this does still represent a slow-down from 2008, where nominal growth was 24% y-o-y. The misleading figures really come into play in terms of real growth, whereby 15% inflation in 2008 pushed real growth rates down to 9%, whereas deflation of 4% in 2009 has pushed up real growth estimates to 23%.

Qatar comes top in our Middle East Business Environment Ratings for the quarter, with a score of 64.5 out of 100. The country performs well, mostly owing to the potential for its infrastructure market over our 2009-2014 forecast period. It presents few limits to potential returns and limited risks; however, middling scores for the country's legal framework and financial infrastructure prevent its score from being even higher.

However, recent contract disputes with Bilfinger Berger regarding the construction of the Doha Expressway have left the German company threatening to quit the emirate, and may taint perceptions of the country’s business environment.

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