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Japan Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Jan. 13, 2010 - 93 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Japan Wireline SWOT
Japan Mobile SWOT
Japan Political SWOT
Japan Economic SWOT
Business Environment
Asia
Table: Asia Telecoms Business Environment Rankings
Japan
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2014
ARPU
Table: Telecoms Sector - ARPU - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2006-2014
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2005-2014
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2007-2014
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Mobile Market Overview
Table: Japan Mobile And PHS Market Share, September 2009
Table: Japan Mobile And PHS Net Additions Market Share, September 2009
ARPU
Table: Japanese ARPUs, Q307-Q309 (JPY/month)
Table: Japanese Voice ARPUs, Q307-Q309 (JPY/month)
Table: Japanese Data ARPUs, Q307-Q309 (JPY/month)
3G
Table: 3G Mobile Subscriber Market, September 2009
Table: 3G Mobile Net Additions, September 2009
LTE
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Table: Asia VAS Market By Service (US$bn)
Country Outlook
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services, 2008-2009
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Japan Mobile Market Overview
Table: NTT DoCoMo
Table: KDDI
Table: Softbank Mobile
Fixed Line
Table: Fixed-Line Operators, September 2009
Internet
FTTH
Table: NTT East And NTT West: No. Of ADSL Vs FTTH Subscribers ('000)
Table: Number Of Broadband Subscriptions By Technology Type, Q405-Q408 (mn)
DSL
VoIP Services
WiMAX
Wireline Developments
Table: Wireline Developments (Fixed-Line And Broadband)
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities In Japan
Competition
Table: Licence Categories
Table: Notification Categories
Licensing
Interconnection
Industry Developments
Company Monitor
Table: Ericsson Segment Sales (SEKbn)
Table: Major Contracts Awarded To Ericsson (2009)
Table: Ericsson Net Sales By Region (SEKmn)
Table: Sony Ericsson Financial Statements
Competitive Landscape
Competitor Analysis
Table: Key Players: Japan Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators 2003-2009 (FY end March 31 unless stated)
Selected Profiles - Operators
Appendix
Key Players
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Japan Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Japan’s mobile market could see consolidation occur either by late 2009 or in 2010, after personal handyphone system (PHS) provider Willcom’s major shareholder, Carlyle Group, announced its intentions to sell the operator. Softbank Mobile is understood to be the frontrunner in the bid, and is competing with several investment funds. Japan’s third largest mobile operator has had a difficult time trying to catch up to NTT DoCoMo and KDDI in terms of subscriber figures and it is hoped that the roughly 4mn subscribers of Willcom will help provide a much needed boost to Softbank Mobile’s market share. Despite the operator having slashed its tariffs, it was unable to close the gap on NTT DoCoMo or KDDI, as they also followed suit with reductions in price plans.

The acquisition of Willcom will not clash with Softbank Mobile’s 2G network termination scheduled for March 2010, as it looks to migrate all 2G subscribers to 3G. Softbank Mobile has expressed an interest in Willcom’s next generation network (NGN) as well as the subscribers it has under its umbrella. However, Softbank Mobile stated that as part of conditions to acquire Willcom, the latter’s creditors must scrap the operator’s debt of JPY93.5bn (US$1.1bn). At a time when operators are struggling to make a profit in a competitive and aggressive mobile sector, Softbank Mobile is not likely to want to take any more debt on than it has to.

Indeed, cash is required of operators as they look to develop the next leg of their networks, upgrading from 3G - which is already saturated with around 91% of all mobile subscribers on 3G - to long-term evolution (LTE). Four operators: NTT DoCoMo, KDDI, Softbank Mobile and eMobile were all awarded with licences by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC) to offer LTE. In October 2009, the MIC gave the green light over operators’ plans to spend US$12bn on the deployment of networks, and it has been estimated that they are looking to achieve a combined LTE subscriber base of 36mn by the end of fiscal year (March) 2015.

The most proactive with regard to LTE is NTT DoCoMo, which awarded a contract to Fujitsu of Japan for the development of a mobile data communications terminal based on LTE. The operator, however, has yet to choose its supplier for LTE technology. Ericsson of Sweden announced in the previous month of September 2009 that it would be keen to become a provider of LTE equipment for NTT DoCoMo, having carried out several trials with the operator, which remain ongoing.

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