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Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 16, 2009 - 93 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Indonesia Wireline (Fixed-Line And Broadband) Business Environment SWOT
Indonesia Mobile Business Environment SWOT
Indonesia Political SWOT
Indonesia Economic SWOT
Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Asia
Indonesia
Table: Asia Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Mobile Historical Data And Forecasts
ARPU
Table: ARPU Historical Data And Forecasts
Fixed Line
Table: Fixed Line Historical Data And Forecasts
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Market Overview
Table: No. Of Mobile Subscribers (June 2009)
Table: No. Of Mobile Net Additions (June 2009)
Subscriber Divisions
MOU And ARPU
3G
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins, 2008-2009
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Table: Asia VAS Market By Service (US$bn)
Country Outlook
SMS
Table: Telkomsel SMS Messages Sent (bn) vs Revenues per SMS (IDR)
Mobile Broadband
Mobile TV
Other Content
Table: Selected VAS Services Launched, 2008-2009
Mobile Operator Data
Indonesia Mobile Market Overview
Table: Telkomsel Overview
Table: Indosat Overview
Table: Excelcomindo Overview
Table: Bakrie Telecom Overview
Fixed-Line
Table: Telkom Fixed-Line ARPU (IDR ‘000)
Fixed-Wireless
Table: Major Fixed-Wireless Operators - Number Of Subscribers (mn)
Broadband
Wireline (Fixed-Line And Broadband) Developments
Table: Wireline Developments, 2008-2009
Regulatory Environment And Industry Developments
Indonesia: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Interconnection
Universal Service Obligation
Industry Development
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Indonesia Telecoms Sector Key Players
Table: Key Operators Financial Indicators, 2002-2008
Company Monitor
Ericsson
Table: Ericsson Segment Sales (SEKbn)
Table: Major Contracts Awarded To Ericsson (2009)
Table: Ericsson Net Sales By Region (SEKmn)
Table: Sony Ericsson Financial Statements
Selected Profiles - Operators
Appendix
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Fixed-Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Indonesia Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR)
BMI Telecoms Industry Glossary
Table: Telecommunications Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Table: Ratings Indicators
Sources

Abstract

Indonesia’s Ministry of Information and Communication (MIC) awarded eight WiMAX licences inOctober 2009, following the completion of the auction in August. The winning bidders were: PTTelkom, PT Indosat Mega Media, PT Internux, PT First Media, PT Jasnita Telekomindo, PT BercaHardayaperkasa, PT Rahajasa Media Internet (also called Indonesian WiMAX Consortium), and aconsortium made up of PT Comtronics Systems and PT Adiwarta Perdania.

The price per operating licence (a maximum of two operators per zone) varied according to criteria set bythe MIC such as the internet needs of the local population, telephone ownership, purchasing power of thelocal population and existing telecommunications regulations. This resulted in the highest prices allocatedto Greater Jakarta and Banten and the lowest prices given to Papua and Maluku.

Although proceeds from the auction - estimated at between IDR45mn-15.1bn - went to the government,the authorities are also committed to ensuring that the auction benefits the local economy. In view of this,a minimum of 30-40% of infrastructure used in the WiMAX networks must be locally sourced. Telkom,the incumbent, said it will become the first operator to launch WiMAX services in Q110.

The Indonesian Internet Service Provider Association (APJII) expects internet access fees to fall by 40-50% after WiMAX networks commence services in 2010. APJII assumes that due to improved servicesby internet service providers (ISPs), national tariffs are likely to drop - a view shared by the MIC.However, BMI cautions that a lack of ready alternatives in the rural broadband sector will mean thatprices remain high even after the introduction of WiMAX. In addition, WiMAX equipment is expensiveand operators will want to make a return on their investment.

However, we would expect the opposite to be true of urban markets, where competing technologies 3Gand ADSL are widespread. The added competition of WiMAX, which enables better data access, couldforce prices down. At current tariffs, 3G costs approximately US$15 per month, while ADSL is aboutUS$7.50 per month.

Indonesia remains in 10th place in BMI’s Business Environment Ratings table. However, it no longershares its rank with Pakistan, a result of the latter’s total telecoms score falling to 50.6. Indonesiamaintains a competitive mobile sector, leading to high penetration rates and declining tariffs, althoughgreater investment in its broadband sector is required.

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