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Poland Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2010

Published by: Business Monitor International

Published: Nov. 10, 2009 - 82 Pages


Table of Contents


Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Poland Pharmaceuticals Industry SWOT
Poland Political SWOT
Poland Economic SWOT
Poland Business Environment SWOT
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Business Environment Ratings For Q110
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Market Summary
Regulatory Regime
Intellectual Property Developments
Pricing And Reimbursement
Table: Wholesale Margins
Table: Pharmacy Margins
Pricing & Reimbursement Developments
Marketing
Other Regulatory Developments
Industry Developments
Healthcare Overview
Healthcare Reforms
Health Insurance
Epidemiology
Table: Disease Burden In CEE
Research And Development
Industry Forecast Scenario
Overall Market Forecast
Key Growth Factors - Industry
Key Growth Factors - Macroeconomic
Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2004-2013
Prescription Market Forecast
Patented Market Forecast
Generics Market Forecast
OTC Medicine Market Forecast
Medical Device Market Forecast
Trade Figures
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Competitive Landscape
Domestic Industry
Domestic Company Developments
Foreign Industry
Foreign Company Developments
Biotechnology Sector
Wholesale Sector
Retail Sector
Table: Poland’s Pharmacies And Pharmacy Market Ratios, 2004-2009
Company Monitor
GlaxoSmithKline
Eli Lilly
Gedeon Richter
Krka
Lek (Novartis/Sandoz)
Polpharma
Bioton
Country Snapshot: Poland Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Pharmaceutical Industry Forecasts
Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Components
Sources
Forecast Tables

Abstract

Poland is one of the highest value markets in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and as a result is adestination for almost all multinationals operating within the region. Poland’s pharmaceutical market hasshown consistently strong growth during 2009, despite economic pressures. Over the next 10 years BMIforecasts that pharmaceutical sales will record a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.9% in USdollar terms, highlighting its potential for foreign investors.

Poland, however, does have a number of drawbacks which make it less than perfect, particularly for BigPharma. In BMI’s Q110 Business Environment Ratings, Poland places sixth out of the 20 CEE marketsin our coverage universe. While scoring relatively well in both pharmaceutical market and country riskcategories, demographic and market risk factors constrain a table-topping score. One of the majorfrustrations for multinationals is delays in reimbursement for innovative products and a strong preferencefor the domestic industry.

Budgeted spending on healthcare by the National Health Fund (NFZ) has increased rapidly fromPLN33.1bn (US$10.2bn) in 2005 to PLN56.2bn (US$16.7bn) in 2009, a CAGR of 14.1%. Whileincreases for 2009 alone were lower at just 4.4%, the figures can still be viewed as positive for thehealthcare industry. Increases were seen across the majority of sub-sectors, including reimbursement ofpharmaceuticals.

NFZ President Jacek Paszkiewicz believes that the fund’s budget for 2010 will have to be reduced byPLN2bn (US$686mn), which represents a 3.6% contraction on current 2009 budget figures. Furthermore,fund income in 2011 is set to drop further with reserves again required to support spending. Paszkiewiczexpects strikes within the healthcare sector as a result of a future inability to support wage demands.

Regulatory updates mean a large number of food supplements, including vitamins and minerals, slimmingpreparations and dermatological products are likely to be withdrawn from sale in Poland from January 12010. Products which are currently available for sale without being registered as medicines will be forcedto obtain licences.

Company-wise, biotechnology firm Bioton build strong international operations focused on insulin sales,biotechnological product development and strategic alliances. In late 2009 it was rumoured the firmwould extend it’s collaboration with Bayer-Schering to distribute recombinant insulin product SciLin inRussia, following a similar deal in China earlier in the year.

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