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Australia - Telecoms Industry - Statistics and Forecasts

Published by: Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd

Published: Nov. 9, 2009 - 152 Pages


Table of Contents



1. The Telecoms Market Moving Into 2010

1.1 Major industry developments in 2010

1.1.1 National broadband network infrastructure - Australia showing global leadership

1.1.2 The impact of regulatory changes on Telstra

1.1.3 Why does the telco industry need to change?

1.1.4 Impact of the Australian economic climate on communications

1.2 Mobile communications

1.2.1 Vodafone - Hutchison merger is setting the scene

1.2.2 Mobile competition between the major operators.

1.2.3 Mobile broadband

1.3 Fixed voice and broadband market

1.3.1 Fixed broadband - The impact of fibre optic networks on DSL regulation

1.3.2 Voice over IP

1.4 The Digital Economy

1.4.1 E-commerce

1.4.2 Mobile media

1.4.3 A trans-sector approach to E-health, E-education and Energy

2. Statistical overview of the telecoms market - by provider

2.1 Total telecommunications services market

2.1.1 Revenue, revenue growth and market share by major provider

2.2 Telstra

2.2.1 Financial results by sector

2.2.2 Analysis of financial results

2.3 Optus

3. Statistical Overview of The Telecoms Market - By Service

3.1 Total telco market by major service

3.2 Wholesale market

3.3 Mobile market

3.4 Data and broadband market

3.4.1 Internet access revenues - broadband and dial-up

3.4.2 Data market

4. 2nd-Tier telco market

4.1 Overview of second-tier telecommunications market

4.2 Market analysis in 2009

4.2.1 The impact of the NBN

4.2.2 The transition period

4.3 Major second-tier companies

4.3.1 Vodafone and Hutchison

4.3.2 AAPT/PowerTel must look for successful merger

4.3.3 iiNet continues to perform strongly

4.3.4 M2

4.3.5 Primus continues to struggle

4.3.6 Macquarie Telecom

4.3.7 Soul acquires TPG and Chariot - but TPG is the winner

4.3.8 Amcom - a star performer in a growing niche market

4.4 Service revenues and market shares

4.4.1 Total market by major service

4.4.2 Total market by major players

5. Market forecasts - 2010 - 2020

5.1 Total overhaul of the industry

5.2 Infrastructure market

5.3 The retail market

5.4 The Mobile market

5.5 The Trans-sector market

5.6 The digital media market

5.7 Business models and Merger and Acquisitions (M&A)

5.7.1 Fixed market scenarios

5.7.2 Mobile market scenarios

6. Broadband Market

6.1 Statistical overview and forecasts

6.1.1 Household statistics

6.1.2 Market subscribers and forecasts

6.1.3 Market shares - 2009

6.1.4 ADSL subscriber statistics

6.1.5 ADSL2+ Statistics

6.1.6 Internet access revenues

6.1.7 Broadband access revenues

6.1.8 Residential market - where the long term potential exists

6.1.9 Long-term forecast - 2015

6.1.10 Market segment forecasts

6.2 Business market

6.2.1 Market trends

6.2.2 Business market surveys

6.3 Residential market

6.3.1 Residential usage trends

6.3.2 Revenue spend in the residential market

6.3.3 Australians use of technology

6.3.4 Household use of Internet IT

6.3.5 ACMA survey - consumer attitudes towards Internet takeup

6.3.6 Other residential market surveys

7. ISP and Internet Statistics

7.1 ISP market overview - where is the industry heading?

7.1.1 The market in 2009

7.1.2 New business models are required

7.1.3 Household statistics

7.1.4 Are low end fixed Internet users interested in HSPA?

7.1.5 Triple play business models

7.1.6 Dial-up Internet still has some life left in it yet

7.1.7 VoIP

7.1.8 Internet media companies

7.2 ACMA - Survey on Internet activity and content

7.2.1 Overview

7.2.2 E-commerce

7.2.3 Social networking

7.3 ABS survey of Internet activity

7.3.1 June 2009

7.3.2 December 2008

7.3.3 June 2008 - overview

7.3.4 December 2007 - overview

7.3.5 Internet subscribers

7.3.6 Dial-up and non-dial-up subscribers

7.3.7 Business, government and household subscribers

7.3.8 Number of ISPs by download speed and size

7.4 ABS survey - Internet Activity - 2009

7.4.1 Broadband Internet access

7.4.2 International comparison

8. Mobile Communications Market

8.1 Revenue overview

8.1.1 Statistical sources

8.1.2 Total mobile services revenue and forecasts

8.1.3 Operator statistics

8.2 Subscriber statistics

8.2.1 Total subscribers and annual growth rates

8.2.2 Operator market shares and growth

8.2.3 2G and 3G subscribers

8.2.4 Prepaid and postpaid subscribers by operator

8.2.5 Wholesale market

9. Wireless Broadband

9.1 Statistical overview

9.1.1 Market overview

9.1.2 Wireless broadband market statistics

9.1.3 Mobility market

10. Glossary of Abbreviations

Table 1 - Total telecoms service revenue by major provider - 2000 - 2011

Table 2 - Total telecoms service annual change by major provider - 2001 - 2011

Table 3 - Total telecoms service market share by major provider - 2000 - 2011

Table 4 - Telstra Group total revenue - 1994; 1996; 1998; 2000 - 2011

Table 5 - Telstra Group revenue by service - 2008 - 2009

Table 6 - Telstra fixed telephony revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 7 - Telstra PSTN products revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 8 - Telstra mobile revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 9 - Telstra Internet revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 10 - Telstra IP and data access revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 11 - Telstra offshore controlled entities revenue and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 12 - Optus overall operating revenue summary and annual change - 1994; 1996; 1998; 2000 - 2011

Table 13 - Optus revenue by major service division and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 14 - Optus operational EBITDA by operating division - 2008 - 2009

Table 15 - Optus mobile revenue by division and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 16 - Optus Business and Wholesale fixed revenue by service - 2008 - 2009

Table 17 - Optus Consumer and SMB fixed revenue by service - 2008 - 2009

Table 18 - Total telecoms market - retail revenue by service - 2000 - 2011

Table 19 - Total telecoms market - annual retail growth by service - 2001 - 2011

Table 20 - Total telecoms market - retail market share by service - 2000 - 2011

Table 21 - Wholesale market revenues by major supplier - 1997 - 2011

Table 22 - Wholesale market shares by major supplier - annual change - 1998 - 2011

Table 23 - Total mobile services market revenue and annual change - 1994 - 2011

Table 24 - Mobile services market revenue per major operator - 1994 - 2011

Table 25 - Annual change of mobile services market per major operator - 1994 - 2011

Table 26 - Average ARPU ($ per month) across all operators - 1994 - 2011

Table 27 - Data market (including broadband) revenue by provider - 1999 - 2011

Table 28 - Data market (including broadband) annual change by provider - 2000 - 2011

Table 29 - Data market (including broadband) - market share by provider - 2000 - 2011

Table 30 - Selected second-tier telco revenues by service - 2003 - 2010

Table 31 - Second-tier telco revenues by service - annual change - 2004 - 2010

Table 32 - Second-tier telcos - revenue by provider - 2003 - 2010

Table 33 - Second-tier telcos - revenue by major provider - annual change - 2003 - 2010

Table 34 - Second tier telcos - revenue by major provider - relative market shares - 2003 - 2010

Table 35 - Size of fixed trans-sector market - 2020

Table 36 - Size of mobile trans-sector market - 2020

Table 37 - Telecommunications services revenue by market - 2010; 2015; 2020

Table 38 - Telecommunications services revenue share by market - 2010; 2015; 2020

Table 39 - Australian Internet users and penetration rate - 2003 - 2009

Table 40 - Broadband component of Internet households - 2005 - 2010; 2015

Table 41 - Fixed broadband access among Internet households - selected countries - 2003 - 2009

Table 42 - Broadband market share by technology and annual change - 2008 - 2009

Table 43 - Total broadband subscribers and annual change - 1996 - 2011

Table 44 - Broadband subscribers - total market - retail and wholesale values - 2003 - 2010

Table 45 - Broadband annual market - annual growth - retail and wholesale values - 2004 - 2010

Table 46 - Broadband subscribers - market shares - retail values - 2004 - 2010

Table 47 - Broadband subscribers - market shares (cable, ADSL totals) - wholesale values - 2004 - 2010

Table 48 - Broadband DSL retail subscribers by major provider - 2004 - 2009

Table 49 - Broadband ADSL retail subscribers by major provider - annual change - 2005 - 2009

Table 50 - ADSL2+ subscribers by provider - 2006 - 2009

Table 51 - Internet access revenues (dial-up and broadband) by major provider - 2003 - 2010

Table 52 - Annual change in Internet access revenues (dial-up and broadband) by major provider - 2004 - 2010

Table 53 - Market share of Internet access revenues (dial-up and broadband) by major provider - 2004 - 2010

Table 54 - Broadband access revenues by major provider - 2005 - 2010

Table 55 - Annual change in broadband access revenues by major provider - 2006 - 2010

Table 56 - Market share of broadband access revenues by major provider - 2005 - 2010

Table 57 - Total fixed wireless broadband revenues - 2005 - 2009

Table 58 - Revenue make-up scenario forecasting - operational and structural separation - 2010

Table 59 - Residential spend per household per annum - 2003; 2010; 2015

Table 60 - Overview total Telecoms/Internet market - 2015

Table 61 - Broadband revenues - 2005; 2010; 2015

Table 62 - Broadband market share by technology - 2005; 2010; 2015

Table 63 - Business and government market spending - mid-2000s

Table 64 - SME computer equipment ownership trends - 1999 - 2009

Table 65 - SME computer software and hardware expenditure - 2006 - 2009

Table 66 - Business trends in Internet connections - 1995 - 2009

Table 67 - How SMEs access the Internet - 2009

Table 68 - Summary of current and expected uses of the Internet by SMEs - 2009

Table 69 - Security methods utilised for remote access to networks - 2008 - 2009

Table 70 - Devices used to connect to networks - 2008 - 2009

Table 71 - Employees work locations - home, workplace or off site - 2008 - 2010

Table 72 - Changes in usage of non-voice applications on 3G handsets - 2010

Table 73 - Plans for convergence of data & voice networks - 2005; 2008 - 2009

Table 74 - Growth in residential and business data usage - 2008 - 2009

Table 75 - Residential market revenue by industry segment - 2008

Table 76 - Computerisation in the home - 2009

Table 77 - Total households with home Internet access - 2000 - 2007

Table 78 - Households with home Internet access - 2000 - 2007

Table 79 - Households with home Internet access by region - 2000 - 2007

Table 80 - Top 10 Internet applications performed over 4 weeks - 2008

Table 81 - Top 10 Internet activities - broadband versus dial-up - 2008

Table 82 - Weekly hours of Internet usage by user type - 2006 - 2008

Table 83 - Frequency of Internet use by age - 2008

Table 84 - Internet take-up by metropolitan/non-metropolitan area - 2007

Table 85 - Internet take-up by access type - 2007

Table 86 - Broadband take-up by access type - 2007

Table 87 - Number of ISPs - 1995 - 2010

Table 88 - Number of ISPs by technology - 2007

Table 89 - Australian Internet users and penetration rate - 2003 - 2010

Table 90 - Internet household penetration forecasts - 2008 - 2012

Table 91 - Proportion of ISPs by size in the Australian market - 2008 - 2009

Table 92 - Business, government and household Internet subscribers - 2007 - 2009

Table 93 - Internet subscribers by download speed - 2008 - 2009

Table 94 - Internet subscribers by access technology - 2007 - 2009

Table 95 - Data downloaded by access technology - 2007 - 2009

Table 96 - Internet subscribers by access type for all ISPs - 2005 - 2010

Table 97 - Internet households & business subscribers - 1985; 1990; 1995; 1997; 1999 - 2009

Table 98 - Dial-up and non-dial-up Internet subscribers - 2003 - 2009

Table 99 - Business, government and household Internet subscribers - 2005 - 2009

Table 100 - Total number of ISPs in Australia by size (historic) - 2000 - 2007

Table 101 - Households with access to a home computer and the Internet - Australia and selected countries - 2007 - 20081

Table 102 - Selected country comparison of monthly at-home Internet usage - 2007; 2009

Table 103 - Total mobile services market revenue and annual change - 1993 - 2012

Table 104 - Mobile services market revenue per major operator - 1994 - 2012

Table 105 - Annual change of mobile services market per major operator - 1994 - 2012

Table 106 - Mobile services revenue share per major operator - 2000 - 2012

Table 107 - Estimated proportion of mobile service revenue from voice and data - 2007 - 2010

Table 108 - Total mobile voice revenue per major operator - 2007 - 2010

Table 109 - Mobile voice revenue per major operator as a proportion of total mobile services revenue - 2007 - 2010

Table 110 - Total mobile data revenue per major operator - 2007 - 2010

Table 111 - Growth mobile data revenue per major operator - 2008 - 2010

Table 112 - Total mobile messaging revenue per major operator - 2007 - 2010

Table 113 - Total mobile data (non messaging) revenue per major operator - 2007 - 2010

Table 114 - Growth in mobile data (non-messaging) revenue per major operator - 2008 - 2010

Table 115 - Blended ARPU per month per major operator - 2000 - 2009

Table 116 - Blended ARPU per month per major operator - annual change - 2004 - 2009

Table 117 - Postpaid ARPU per month - Telstra, Optus and Vodafone - 2004 - 2009

Table 118 - Prepaid ARPU per month - Telstra, Optus and Vodafone - 2004 - 2009

Table 119 - Mobile data ARPU per month - Telstra and Hutchison - 2004 - 2009

Table 120 - 2G versus 3G subscriber ARPU per month - Telstra - 2006 - 2009

Table 121 - Mobile market subscribers, penetration rate and annual change - 1995 - 2010

Table 122 - Mobile subscribers by carrier - 1995 - 2010

Table 123 - Annual growth rate of mobile subscribers by carrier - 1995 - 2010

Table 124 - Mobile subscriber market share by operator - 1995 - 2010

Table 125 - 3G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2003 - 2010

Table 126 - Annual growth rate of 3G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2007 - 2010

Table 127 - Proportion of 3G mobile subscribers versus total subscribers by carrier - 2006 - 2010

Table 128 - 2G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2006 - 2010

Table 129 - Annual change of 2G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2007 - 2010

Table 130 - Prepaid subscribers per operator - 2006 - 2010

Table 131 - Prepaid subscribers - market share by operator - 2006 - 2010

Table 132 - Number of mobile phone services in operation - pre and postpaid - 2006 - 2010

Table 133 - Wholesale subscribers - Telstra and Optus - 2006 - 2009

Table 134 - Wireless broadband subscribers by access type and annual change - 2006 - 2010

Table 135 - 3G wireless broadband subscribers by mobile operator - 2007 - 2008

Table 136 - Total fixed wireless broadband revenues and annual change - 2006 - 2010

Table 137 - Wireless broadband monthly ARPU - 2006 - 2010

Table 139 - Fixed wireless broadband subscribers by operator - 2007 - 2008

Table 140 - Forecast mobile wireless data and voice revenues - 2008; 2013; 2018

Abstract

This report provides statistics and forecasts for 2010 as well as high-level commentary on the overall market, market shares by operator and detail of 2G and 3G and prepaid and postpaid usage. For those needing detailed revenues, forecasting and analysis on the Australian telecommunications market, this report provides essential reading and gives in-depth industry information on:
  • Revenue, annual growth and market share statistics;
  • ISP and Internet statistics;
  • Business market and Residential market broadband statistics;
  • Analysis and revenue forecasting for 2010 and 2020;
  • Market statistics segmentation by voice, mobile and data;
  • Market segmentation and market statistics by major provider;
  • Overview and market analysis of the 2nd tier telco market as well as Telstra and Optus.


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